Victoria: Cold fronts & cut-off low - 17-20th Dec (Obs)

[Blackee]

Post your obs, reports and thumbnails in here!

Should be an interesting 2-3 days!

[Lily]

So the big question is - will my little bloke get to play cricket tomorrow morning? Given the ground was too wet last week, and both EC and GFS are indicating around 10ish mm in the next 24 hours for our area, I'm thinking possibly not This weather is really interesting and great for us weather freaks, but not so great for sports grounds

[Karl Lijnders]

Few showers tomorrow morning Lily then becoming mainly fine tomorrow afternoon with sunny periods developing by days end. Should be OK Sunday AM but only for a few hours .

Will be a great weekend next week, but it's Christmas LOL!

[Jake Smethurst]

Already showers and local thunderstorms over the southwest of the state at the moment. These will extend eastwards over central parts this afternoon and the east tonight. Quite mild with fresh and gusty northwesterly winds here.

[Jake Smethurst]

Here is my chart for today.

Australian Weather Forum
Thunderstorm Forecast - Day 1 (Friday)
Issued 11:25 AM EDT 17/12/2010

A cold front is near western Victoria, and will move through these parts during this morning, then central regions during the early to mid afternoon and finally the east of the state later today. Upper dynamics are not very favourable for thunderstorm formation today, however the atmospheric environment with and ahead of the cold front in regards to instability is marginal. Therefore, isolated thunderstorms are possible over southern districts today. Shower activity is already evident over the southwest this morning, and these could become lightning active.


It also seems the Laverton radar is not working this morning. The BoM FWB mentioned that it stopped overnight.

[Jake Smethurst]

Really heavy showers passing through here currently. Another band to come by the looks of things, and then some brief respite.

[Proteous]

Getting the odd large drop of rain from some meaty CU atm. 22.5/15

[schitzengiggles]

So the big question is - will my little bloke get to play cricket tomorrow morning?

I hope you're not subjecting him to the Lysterfield CC culture.

[Lily]

LOL, no, Eildon Park but that's probably just as bad They had a buddy night last night where the Seniors are paired up with a Junior for the season, they had a ball

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Looks like its close to time to get that washing off the line..!
23c
1000hpa
80.5mm MTD
907.5mm yr. and the days are ticking away fast now.. Ho Ho Ho.. & a Big fat roast.

[AmaroK]

Well, been pretty flat out at work didnt even notice the rain coming until it went very dark, and started to bucket down.
Been raining relatively heavily for about 5 minutes now.

[Andy]

Just got smashed here at home. Massive rain rate for 15 mins or so and quite gusty. Got the lawn half done.......
Will clear again now with maybe another shower in an hour.

[Supercellimpact]

Had a few heavy showers. Raining atm.

[Hamlan]

Am I the only one seeing this?!?!

There is a nice guster moving across the bay at the moment. Was a nice discreet cell with ragged base that moved over Avalon to the bay, had some nice backbuilding until the initial updraft strengthened again with some consolidation and lowering to its base before forming a nice photogenic guster 5 mins ago. Would look very nice down Stkilda way I would think. No lightning but a red core.

Brad.

[thunderhead]

Hamlan. Was expecting to see something like a guster but have had an internet outage for about 90mins thanks to my ISP so was unable to confirm it on the radar! Couldn't get a good view of any action from the Storm Free Zone that is Camberwell East.

[mad*moo73]

Just got the edge of that, went very dark & heard a few rumbles. Has a black core now!!!!!!!!!

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Looks like a little bit of black on radar just now.
2mm earlier.

[Hamlan]

Yeah from what I was seeing from the CBD it gusted out with a nice shelf as it approached the eastern side of the bay. The main cell has reintensified upon landfall and is heading toward Cranbourne. No visible lightning at any stage from here but not surprised to hear of rumbles.

Edit - and lightning on WZ from that cell now.

[Dc449]

Was driving home and saw some nice CG and CC. Looked wicked and the roads were flooded at home.

[AUS_Twisted]

That was a lovely unstable guster/cell viewing from the North side at home, there was some rotating updrafts in areas and saw one nice double CG, the rest of the lightning I could see was embedded in rain. I got some pics from the backyard, checking them now.