Severe Tropical Cyclone Kirrily

[WeatherNerdEd]

Tropical Low 05U Developing
Hi all!
Just thought I'd make a post about the current status of Tropical Low 05U.

• Currently it is of pressure 997:
  

• JTWC (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) has issued a 'Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert', stating:

  FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE . . . WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS

  See the full report here: https://web.archive.org/web/20240119213 ... 024web.txt.

• BoM also states the following in their Forecast Description report published at 19:11 AEST 19/01/2024:

  The tropical low will strengthen over the weekend, and is likely to become a tropical cyclone by late Sunday or Monday.

  I have archived this report at: https://archive.md/Tn8Og, although the Forecast Map is broken

• This is a track map made by a Wikipedia editor:
  

No Technical Bulletin or Forecast Track Map has been published yet.

The next name in BoM's naming list is 'Kirrily', and this is likely to be the name given to this current low.

I also contribute to this Wikipedia article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Low_05U_(2024), so you can check it out for updated information.

[WeatherNerdEd]

No Technical Bulletin or Forecast Track Map has been published yet.

UPDATE: The Bureau of Meteorology has issued a Forecast Track Map, Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletin & Ocean Wind Warning at 10:56, 10:54 & 11:00 AEST respectively.

Archived copies can be found here: Forecast Track Map, Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletin & Ocean Wind Warning.

These reports forecast Tropical Low 05U to become a Cat 1 at 10pm Jan 22, Cat 2 at 10am Jan 23 & Cat 3 at 10am Jan 24. All times are in AEST. BoM also states:

Tropical cyclone impact likely on the Queensland coast this week.

No warning/watch zones have been declared at this point.

[WeatherNerdEd]

This system has now been named Kirrily and has been upgraded to L3 (aka Severe Tropical Cyclone)

Severe Tropical Cyclone Kirrily (05U) is likely to hit at Townsville later this evening (AEST).

[WeatherNerdEd]

After landfall, Kirrily quickly de-intesified into a Remnant Low. It is now around the North Qld area.
To show how quickly it dissipated, I have a few images below.

This image is from the afternoon of the 25th:


This image is from early morning of the 26th: