Warming up to early season heat possibly followed by rain: Late September to early October

[Gordon]

Yep, reckon. New thread. Happy to start it.

Wasn’t confident it was going to stick but pleased to say it has.

Just did - please feel free to ditch or change . Edit: Yours looks better!

[Macedonian]

First September in about 15-20 years that has been this warm. The last few years have been quite cool and normal. Not sure what the panic is?

Last September this warm was ten years ago, which was the hottest on record. 23 of the past 26 Septembers have been warmer than average. This has included the four warmest. For the globe you’d need to be about fifty years old to have seen a cool September. September 2023 was the warmest by miles - the warmest on record and the largest margin by which we’ve broken a record so a record record….

Also Australia’s driest month for any month on record in about 1500 months. Driest September for Melbourne and driest July to September. You can’t make this up. Records being broken all over the place.

Now comes the flip side to all the heat with heavy rain which will quite possibly break records at some spots.

I'm with you HB. Not sure how people can be relaxed amidst all the of the new records.

[Pengaz]

The Briagalong fire took off at 10am, much like the Sarsfield fire did during the big fires 3 years back, plenty of cumulous clouds generated over it during the early arvo. Amazing only one house burnt.

Looks like it made another big run during the night with that howling NW and shot of hot air. That’s a big emergency warning area. Not good. Hopefully the rain arrives before it reaches Fernbank.