Series of fronts with showers, and possible storms: August 22-26

[hillybilly]

Couple of quick moving fronts for the week ahead. Both are pretty moisture starved, but have decent upper troughs and strong temperature changes. Will be showery with possible for storms in the colder air. Each system is preceded by mild air, so a mild to warm week overall, and while it will be colder enough for snow after each front will initially start our well above zero in the alps. Can’t really see much accumulating in the resorts which are looking lean again.

Possible we could get an east coast low with the a last front, but progs currently suggest it won’t quite form.

[StratoBendigo]

Had a shower of rain this morning. Could end up with a decent amount over the next two days.

[StratoBendigo]

Raining atm and 12c. We seem to be on a convergence line with warm air to our North, and Melbourne enjoying warm Spring sunshine.

[QldTwister]

Yeah think you will do well tomorrow SB enjoy wet day.

Feel like last decent chance for 5 to 10mm for parts of Northern Vic with isol 20mm+ on north facing slopes (only 2-5mm in the Mallee) before it starts to really dry out and warm up next week and following week

Good soak tomorrow for most of Vic I think many will see in the 10 to 15mm range while in the hills and usual wet spots more so 20mm or so.

Then after that dry and warming up weekend early next week looks mild to warm and dry so be nice days if not wanting rain which more and more will in northern Vic and parts of the south

[Tassiedave]

20.1 degrees at Hobart Airport! Hobart is a sneaky chance of threatening it's August record for average maximum temperature just one month after smashing its July record.

[hillybilly]

Radar and obs are more typical of late spring this morning. Mid low to teens and a thunder looking rain band. Should be productive for much of Vic.

[Gordon]

13mm to 9am for us, nothing spectacular, but still our best daily total since June and already exceeding what I was expecting, with more rain falling.

[hillybilly]

Handy 7mm for us just south of Hobart. Better than I expected.

Ok falls for east central Vic and now raining quite heavily north of Melbourne. Good to see. Front has firmed a weak cut off low.

[Didjman]

6mm here so far

[Pengaz]

A useful 12mm here from yesterdays showers.

[snowfall]

A very welcome 22mm here, which includes 3mm on Monday night. Great to finally have a proper rainy day.

Also great to see some decent falls across fairly wide areas of the state. Cool night too. It dropped to 2.5c here overnight. Currently 8c and sunny.

[hillybilly]

Quite a showery morning here in southern Tasmania. Just shy of 4mm which isn’t a lot, but with such a dry month every dribble is welcome.

Progs look pretty lean for most of Oz next ten days. El Niño and IOD slowly tightening their grip. Question is how much sneaks into the southeast with the fronts. Expecting, unfortunately, that August will round out as close to record warm and dry.

[jimmyay]

Beautiful afternoon and 20 in many suburbs this arvo before the first cool change of the season around 430pm….now about 14. could be a long summer!

[hillybilly]

A cool showery 24 hours down here. Nearly 2mm in the gauge. Snow level is quite low, sat around 800m, but cover is very light.

Bit of an unstable weekend with potential for the odd shower despite the high for the southeast. System starting to brew for mid next week. We all need something before end of month otherwise the totals are going to be pretty low.

Btw not much reporting, but temps into the 30s in inland southern WA with some records. Also a shocking 45C over in South America (hottest ever recorded in winter in the southern hemisphere). Spring could be interesting in a bad way,

[snowfall]

18c here yesterday, our warmest day since mid-May.

Some drizzle overnight and early this morning with a damp southerly, but only 1.8mm.

Yes, models generally lining up for a bit of rain around mid-week - hopefully it sticks.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Hazey.. 5.20pm. 11.30am. 7.45am

[Australis(Shell3155)]

6pm.

[Wilko]

A cool showery 24 hours down here. Nearly 2mm in the gauge. Snow level is quite low, sat around 800m, but cover is very light.

Bit of an unstable weekend with potential for the odd shower despite the high for the southeast. System starting to brew for mid next week. We all need something before end of month otherwise the totals are going to be pretty low.

Btw not much reporting, but temps into the 30s in inland southern WA with some records. Also a shocking 45C over in South America (hottest ever recorded in winter in the southern hemisphere). Spring could be interesting in a bad way,

Agree the signals are a concern..the bush and particularly grass will dry out rapidly over Spring..

[hillybilly]

Knocked over by covid that last few days. I was hoping that virus was in the past, but seems it is coming around for another go.

Real feature down here the last few days has been frost. 2C Saturday, 0C Sunday and -1C this morning. Was cold for a long time last night so ice was thick on surfaces.

Next system in bound. Quite a solid surface feature but tbh strangely mild for winter. Rain the alps to start and even when it finishes snow lines will be quite high, probably above the low resorts on the mainland.

[stevco123]

Tonight's forecast is for partly cloudy and fog.

Well radar says otherwise, and it's currently teeming down here.