Cool with some showers: May 16-23

[hillybilly]

Bit of an in between thread for a swly sequence this week. Quite a strong front on Tuesday, but moisture starved. There are then a couple of weaker fronts. Should be ok falls along the Vic coastal strip and western Tas. Not much elsewhere.

[hillybilly]

A very mild day down in southern Tasmania but cooling down now. Unfortunately not a lot in the front with rain on the west coast, but just showers and quite sparse ones for the east. It’s currently shaping up as a really dry month for us

Repeated fronts in the sequence but each is pretty moisture starved. Just showers.

Watch northwest Australia in the next couple of weeks as these cold surges and big highs rapidly chill the eastern Indian Ocean. Will probably put us into a positive IOD.

[StratoBendigo]

A very mild day down in southern Tasmania but cooling down now. Unfortunately not a lot in the front with rain on the west coast, but just showers and quite sparse ones for the east. It’s currently shaping up as a really dry month for us

Repeated fronts in the sequence but each is pretty moisture starved. Just showers.

Watch northwest Australia in the next couple of weeks as these cold surges and big highs rapidly chill the eastern Indian Ocean. Will probably put us into a positive IOD.

Yep, a dry winter is almost a given. Positive IOD is very likely too given the Bay Of Bengal cyclone in the past day or so. If one occurs in Mid-May, it pretty much locks in a +ve IOD.

[snowfall]

Yeah, the signs are not looking great for rain in the second half of the year unfortunately. I was rather hoping we might be able to pull off a negative IOD to help counter the El Nino, but the trends are all moving in the opposite direction.

A cold, sunny morning here at the moment. Was down to 2.9c earlier this morning. We had 8.8mm in the past day, most of which came with the front and then a bit more with drizzle and light showers last night in a southeasterly stream.

Looking generally cool to cold right into the weekend, with showers here and there as fronts/troughs move through although mostly south of the ranges in Vic. A couple of models, including EC, are hinting at something more substantial later next week, but it's still a fair way out so have to wait and see.

[StratoBendigo]

1c and a frost this morning. Had a few already in May 2023. Feels a bit like Autumn 2006 to be honest.

[hillybilly]

Third frost in a row in Howden. Sub zero values in the horse paddock, but just above zero up the hill near the house where I’ve got the screen. I do need to move it down into the paddock so I get better obs

Weak front today.

Next week could get wild. Big deep slow moving low in the southeast. Not a wet system for most but gales and cold southwest ot westerlies. Big fall in western Tasmania, but once you head inland not so much. Possible very low level snow. Guess we will see. Have seen some very good low level snowfalls in El Niño events, despite the dry.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Venus Bay

[Gordon]

Unremarkable weather here lately, except for the cold - tracking significantly below average, and it doesn't look like that's going to change for the rest of the month.

Rain keeps quietly ticking over with an even 40mm mtd. May average is 76mm, so we might be a chance if some of the models are right.

[Macedonian]

Certainly is cold. My May median maximum temp so far is 8.4°.
Twelve days of the month so far have failed to reach 10° and the warmest day so far was 13.3°.
Feels like winter already.

[hillybilly]

Another mm or so in Howden. Looks like the pattern for the next ten days. Cool to cold with the odd shower.

[Skywalker]

Certainly more than just a couple of mm down here on the island this morning, over 20mm so far & still coming down.

Stark contrast to the bugger all dribs & drabs back in the western wasteland.

[Gordon]

This morning's 8 day WATL looking good for a fair chunk of southern Vic, and it has Western Tas down for 100mm plus in parts.

[snowfall]

4.8mm here yesterday with showers in the late afternoon and evening.

Still continuing the run of cool to cold days, barely getting above 11c the past few days and minimums around 2-5c.

Lots of rain moving up through the eastern side of Melbourne at the moment. Should be some healthy totals.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Seems we’ve had 23mm for the week..
taken awhile to get decent coals to warm the place..
nice to wake to 18.

[stevco123]

I wasn't going to call it but it does seem winter did come 4 to 6 weeks early this year

[Pengaz]

Ended up quite a wet weekend here. 30mm from Friday through to mid morning today.

This rain coincided with peak leaf drop on many of our deciduous trees… mess!

[StratoBendigo]

Barely any rain here over the weekend. Getting quite dry.

-1c and a ripping frost too this morning.

[hillybilly]

7mm for the week here. Has turned mild again, 13C here this morning at 6am.

Next front on Thursday will bring cooler air and some showers but still nothing particularly notable for most of Oz on the progs. Feels like El Niño atm, tbh.

Perhaps new thread time.

[snowfall]

Missed most of the weekend rain, with just a couple of mm. 71mm MTD.

Quite a nice, sunny morning at the moment. Currently 8.8c but feels quite mild in the sun.

Not expecting much rain here over the next week. A few mm on Thursday and then maybe the odd bit here and there.

[Macedonian]

A frosty -2° for me at work this morning in Macedon. It was a much milder 5° five km away at home on Mt Macedon.
Short distance, big difference.