Easterly trough with showers and storms: January 21-26

[Wilko]

Southern and Central regions lookout

[stevco123]

Southern and Central regions lookout

Looks like I'm out of the equation here in the outer south east, going by the models. Not surprising however

[James]

as i keep saying, so close yet so far!

had quite heavy showers earlier but the thunderstorms seem to be evading this area today even though conditions were supposed to be good for it.

some clearance to the north but i hold little hope these days, why is it all firing on the other side of the bay, i seek to understand whats different over there to the eastern suburbs today?

[stevco123]

as i keep saying, so close yet so far!

had quite heavy showers earlier but the thunderstorms seem to be evading this area today even though conditions were supposed to be good for it.

some clearance to the north but i hold little hope these days, why is it all firing on the other side of the bay, i seek to understand whats different over there to the eastern suburbs today?

Was never a chance today to the east. There is a slight one, but doubt it

[James]

well there you go everyone was saying today was the best chance for the east, shows nobody has a clue

[stevco123]

well there you go everyone was saying today was the best chance for the east, shows nobody has a clue

Exactly what everyone has been telling you. No one can predict storms.

[James]

No, thats what i have been telling everyone, and pointing out how much we rely on forecasts that rarely are correct, nevertheless people still want to believe in it and apparently I am supposed to, which is why i question it all the time, which doesnt always go down well

[James]

i hear some rumbling ..and its not my stomach!

[stevco123]

No, thats what i have been telling everyone, and pointing out how much we rely on forecasts that rarely are correct, nevertheless people still want to believe in it and apparently I am supposed to, which is why i question it all the time, which doesnt always go down well

But when the bureau predicts a chance of a storm for the metro area, they frequently do eventuate. Now whether it's in Boronia, Cranbourne or Melton, that's anyone's guess.

[stevco123]

i hear some rumbling ..and its not my stomach!

There you go. Counts as a storm day. BoM got it right for your neck of the woods

[stevco123]

Aireys inlet getting smashed. 30mm in 30 minutes officially. Final figure will be huge

[Onetahuti]

9.2mm for here in Round 1, await and see if Round 2 eventuates.

Management committee has met and given me the evening off watering.

[Gordon]

i hear some rumbling ..and its not my stomach!

Looking at the radar, Surely Boronia is being hit now?

[Lucia]

Yes agree, and look at that large black core heading towards Mt. Dandenong

[Mike]

well there you go everyone was saying today was the best chance for the east, shows nobody has a clue

Yep, nobody.

Hills around Lorne etc. going alright atm

[StratoBendigo]

Just dodged a bullet. Brute of a storm NW of Kerang atm with green tinge and constant thunder. It's a beast.

[James]

Very big storm, flooding rain, whiteout at one point and small hail.

Very bomb like thunder at times and very crisp bolts from the blue, especially after the main storm passed.

Lightning struck somewhere very close, people were still running around on the nearby oval and seemingly didn't care?

[occluded]

Some very brief small hail, pouring rain and a couple of VERY close flash-bangs through Croydon about 45 mins ago. A couple of flooded roads around Ringwood East. Steady rain here at home. Looks like Geelong copped a nice storm.

[Skywalker]

Absolutely sweet bugger all here in the boredom zone. Surprise surprise.

Another night of watering coming up.

[Gordon]

Very big storm, flooding rain, whiteout at one point and small hail.

Very bomb like thunder at times and very crisp bolts from the blue, especially after the main storm passed.

Lightning struck somewhere very close, people were still running around on the nearby oval and seemingly didn't care?

Reverse psychology worked a treat . I must try it, 1mm here so far