Lots of October records in northern Tasmania. This is not a usual month for big slow moving events, but guess that is the past and not our future
Rivers are now starting to respond quickly.
I don't expect daily totals to exceed 2016, but the 48 hours total may. The 100-150mm peak falls mostly occurred in around a 12 hour period with is extraordinary, with another 12 hours of similar rainfall rates to come. Progs picked this days if not a week out which is amazing.
Northern Victoria looks extraordinary. Going to be one of those events for the record books. Huge tropical infeed which is record or near record moist and a slow moving almost stationary trough. This trough is tapping moisture from both the Coral Sea and Indian Ocean which I'm not sure I've really seen before. Really unusual and extreme set-up.
In southern Tas totals are entirely dependent on whether you are in the immediate central plateau rainshadow or the downstream bounce zone. Just a mm in Hobart, but closing in on 15mm at our place just 15km south of Hobart at the crow flies. These types of gradient are quite phenomenal. The rain is almost perfect falling at a rate of 1-2mm an hour at our place