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Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

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StratoBendigo
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Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by StratoBendigo »

Bit of an upgrade in the forecast models for Monday's cold front. Perhaps 15-30mm possible here, and the BOM have mentioned thunderstorms in the mix, possibly severe....
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by Blackee »

Yes feeling like a spring type event. We have 40mm forecast here Monday/Tuesday to close out the month. MTD here is 95mm and it saturated.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by StratoBendigo »

Some really interesting dynamics expected tomorrow. Looks volatile.

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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by QldTwister »

How good where the last 2 days so nice :D 20c sunny bit of instability around sniff of spring and tomorrow classic spring.

Early morning rumbles/showers/storms through central/eastern Vic tomorrow
Then a band of thunderstroms develop in west mid/late arvo moving into central Vic during evening/early night then eastern Vic early tuesday as band of rain and isol storms with mod to heavy falls.

15-30mm for most bar far west and NW, isol 30 to 50mm for some, even higher totals in NE Vic and Yarra ranges east of Melb
Showers Tuesday then nothing till another big low next week :o :o

This is the pattern change, this is the start of a very active wet and stromy 4-6 months across Vic and much of Australia exciting times, but also major flood and disater times ahead too :( :(

Hope for a rumble here and flash, but out west and NSW will do well

IT BEGINS :D :D :D :D :D
Bring on the heat and stroms
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Petros
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by Petros »

Yep

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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by StratoBendigo »

The usual storms to our SW and NE early this morning, but things have fired up directly to our North and it's incoming....

No idea how much rain we'll get today. Could be 5mm or 50mm.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by Skywalker »

Wet morning here at work after a sensational couple of days down on the island. Took the opportunity while I was down there to completely clear out the gutters in preparation for the incoming system (damn gum trees).

Could be in for a potential 10-15mm today with a bit of luck.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by StratoBendigo »

All happening here at present. Lightning, thunder, rain...

Real interesting though is the spike in temperatures in the Mallee right now. Fuel for this afternoon I suspect.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by snowfall »

3.8mm here so far from this morning's showers, more than I expected at this stage.

Radar is showing more rain coming down from the north towards the Macedon Ranges, basically the same stuff that you are reporting on SB. Plenty of rain on the way through Melbourne too and other central areas.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by StratoBendigo »

15mm at the AWS so far this morning. Pretty decent.

A line of storms has fired up in the NW of the State near Underbool. Later this afternoon could be more fireworks.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by snowfall »

Heavy rain here now, with 9mm so far.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by Lara_Hunter »

Bit more than expected here at work so far in West Melbourne...

That line out west looks interesting
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by StratoBendigo »

8cm diameter hail reported near Mildura this afternoon. Some of these storms are packing a big punch.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by snowfall »

19mm now, following a long period of moderate to heavy rain.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by hillybilly »

Watching this all play out to the north. Warm mostly sunny one here, with temps creeping into the low 20s in spots. Not record breaking but not far off. Basically Kunanyi is now snow free.

Some showers and storms for western Tas and the north, but not much for here until the wind change tomorrow.

That storm band in Victoria looks impressive, though starting to weaken. Not expecting a lot in it for Melbourne when it comes through.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by Dane »

We have had just over 100mm's here this month but so far have only received 0.2mm's today.
Those storms out west are weakening quickly so not expecting anything from them.
Should have some light rain later tonight with a few mm's.
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by QldTwister »

Huge day in Mildura and much of western Vic in AUGUST :D :D :D :o :o :o

Wish I was their, hail and flash flooding all over the shop, had 4cm hail at home, but lots of reports/pics of 5 to 6cm few even bigger around town.
20mm in 30 mins and even heaiver in other parts.
100km/h winds and 35mm at Horsham
Flooding and large accum of small hail around Portland
8mm here today things so damp dont need want more and wet night on way another 10 to 15 im sure.

Band of rain and isol storms slowly moving into central Vic, then eastern tomorrow morning while weakning
Rain band and storms dropping solid falls in farming areas atm and hopefully hail hasnt wrecked to much in the mallee

Wrap showers windy cold and wet for Melb and east tomorrow arvo after sunny morning then winter like rest of week and cold again end of week

Next big low with widespread rain spreading across Australia next week with more widespread rain.
Everyone just waiting for the big one prob late Sept into Oct to lead to widespread devasting flooding for many
Bring on the heat and stroms
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by StratoBendigo »

Rain has started here again. Quite significant falls in the Wimmera today.

Next week's big Low is something to keep an eye on too...
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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by hillybilly »

Pretty convincing photo of a tornado at Lake Tyrell just before 5pm.

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Re: Stormy Cold Front to end the Month August 28-

Post by StratoBendigo »

hillybilly wrote: Mon Aug 29, 2022 7:55 pm Pretty convincing photo of a tornado at Lake Tyrell just before 5pm.

That's a decent funnel. Hopefully nothing badly damaged.

Pouring rain again now.
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