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Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:36 am
by hillybilly
A spell of cooler SW to W weather coming up with some showers, mainly about coastal parts. EC and GFS have showers moving inland a bit near fronts on Thur/Fri and Mon. Quite cold air - the 850Ts drop to near 0C on Thur, and tend to stay in single digits for most of the week. Certainly looks autumnal.

Main event will be for Tas where the progs have substantial falls around western areas.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:57 am
by I_Love_Storms
Looks fairly windy through the night...wouldn't be surprised if a SWW issued. Would expect coastal areas to get some pretty strong winds

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Wed Mar 04, 2015 1:33 pm
by Gordon
Nice stream of cloud coming our way from that depression off north-west WA - again! It would be nice if it could hook up with one of the upcoming fronts and give the rainfall totals a kick.

So far the models say no, but then they've said that a lot lately and the goodies have still been delivered :D !

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:04 pm
by Geoff
Yes, the two cloudbands from the two different airmasses have definitely linked on the satellite image now, so we await to see if it can get a boost like Saturday's event did, though a bit less wind would be desirable.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Thu Mar 05, 2015 7:56 am
by hillybilly
Yes, the two cloudbands from the two different airmasses have definitely linked on the satellite image now, so we await to see if it can get a boost like Saturday's event did, though a bit less wind would be desirable.
Not to be. The phasing was wrong :(

One blowey night in the hill - ended up getting up at 4:30am as the roar was to much for sleeping... Handy 3.5mm in the gauge.

Got a little hail this morning in a shower, so I guess that almost makes it the first "cold outbreak" for 2015 :P

Tomorrow packs another front with a little wave on it. Rainfall gradients will be tight - decent falls on the coast and near zilch inland. Ferny Creek sits in the strong gradient so could get 1 or 10mm.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Thu Mar 05, 2015 8:06 am
by Skywalker
Chilly morning on the bike. Don't think we received anything at all in terms of rainfall. Typical south westerly rubbish. :roll:

That dreaded time of the year is fast approaching. :(

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Thu Mar 05, 2015 8:37 am
by Gordon
3.5 mm here, nasty wind again overnight; not quite as bad as Saturday night for strength, but duration was longer. Still pretty strong.

Certainly cold - I can imagine that snow falling in Tassie.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Thu Mar 05, 2015 2:02 pm
by Australis(Shell3155)
EQ. Warragul - Morwell. 1.30.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Thu Mar 05, 2015 5:06 pm
by BringOnTheCoolChange
If anyone is wondering whether if it snowed in Victoria today, it did! I found this on Twitter, this is someone at Mount Buller. :D
https://instagram.com/p/z08oTdnDcT/

Tasmania on the other hand were very very lucky, they got great snowfalls today for early Autumn, Mt Wellington didn't get too much though, but the Central Plateau got blanketed :D
Miena, Tasmania Definitely 1 of the best towns to live in, in Australia for snow bunnies. ;)
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Ben Lomond, Tasmania
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Great Lake, Tasmania
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Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Thu Mar 05, 2015 8:55 pm
by hillybilly
Another 3mm here today, so 6mm or there abouts. Bit more than the models were expecting so can't complain. Max (after 9am) of just 13C - heaters on - two weeks ago we needed the cooler with all that heat and humidity :P

BTW that gust at Wilson Prom of 156km/hr today seems to be a new March record. Wind obs aren't that consistent and sites tend to have short records, but still that's pretty significant.

Tomorrow could suprise - another front with a little wave which forms a low in the Tasman. Will have some kick in coastal areas. Thinking we could get another 5-10mm here.
If anyone is wondering whether if it snowed in Victoria today, it did! I found this on Twitter, this is someone at Mount Buller.
Reckon it did snow at Baw Baw and prob a little at Donna Buang and Lake Mt, but geez would be surprised if there was a snowman's worth (maybe they scraped the freezer ;) ). Temps here dipped to 7C so would have been snow to about 1200m briefly.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Thu Mar 05, 2015 9:21 pm
by Rivergirl
Lovely photos there

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 7:18 am
by hillybilly
Wierd band of heavy drizzle to the south of the Bay ATM moving north. This looks warm frontal, and should push into the burbs next few hours. Upper temps and humidity is rising. Was starting to spit in the Dandenong when I left hope.

Not a lot in it.

Back to more settled weather later next week with a block building as tropical lows develop in the Coral Sea.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 8:24 am
by Skywalker
Another windy trip into work this morning, at least the wind was behind me this time. :D :windsail:

Lazy forecasting by the BOM.

Melbourne area
Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds west to southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h.


There is lucky to be a 10% chance of showers here in the western suburbs. :roll:

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 8:46 am
by Geoff
Pretty solid drizzle here for the last hour, and the main band is still well south of us, so could end up with a wet day here.
Could well be a warm front, the temp. has risen here since the drizzle arrived, up to 11C now, and the wind has eased.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 12:58 pm
by WeatherViewer
Very windy day here In Wyndham Vale. But having said that the end of my street is grassland stretching to the You Yang's and beyond, we are always a tad windier here.
In regards to the the Temperature, its actually a warm to mild breeze out there. Currently 23.2c here, I didnt think it would get so warm today. However we are generally a warmer pocket of Melbourne here during most days.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 1:04 pm
by Geoff
WeatherViewer wrote:Currently 23.2c here
That's amazing, it has struggled up to 13c here in Olinda, 10c difference is huge from one side of Melbourne to the other.
The main band of showery rain has arrived here after a drizzly morning, quite heavy rain falling now, with more to come by the look of things.
Could be looking at 10mm here if it keeps up.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 1:22 pm
by WeatherViewer
Geoff ยป Fri Mar 06, 2015 1:04 pm wrote:
Geoff wrote:
WeatherViewer wrote:Currently 23.2c here
That's amazing, it has struggled up to 13c here in Olinda, 10c difference is huge from one side of Melbourne to the other.
The main band of showery rain has arrived here after a drizzly morning, quite heavy rain falling now, with more to come by the look of things.
Could be looking at 10mm here if it keeps up.
Yep it is amazing, I really wish we had more BOM sites out this side of Melbourne. As I type it has cracked 24c, I can vouch for the accuracy of the local site and my manual gauge in the shade is reading very similar. Certainly feels warm to. Wind is blowing a westerly here and 34km/hour.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 3:31 pm
by Gordon
Windy, grey & drizzly here (1.5 mm so far) but not especially cold - by our standards - at 14 C.

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 7:41 pm
by hillybilly
Cool drizzly day up here with fog just to add to the effects :P 3.2mm of rain, and a max of 13.8C. Gone back into showers after a clearance earlier. Really humid for a cool day with DPs around 13C. Pretty classic warm front weather, which is odd for March.

Like the look of EC... Big cold outbreak late next week. Will it hold ;)

Re: Cooler with some showers: Mar 4 to Mar 10

Posted: Sat Mar 07, 2015 6:41 am
by hillybilly
Drizzle and fog all night here with (about) 8mm in the gauge since 9am. Still coming down (shame as I want a nice day to get some work done!). Looks like clearing soon if EC is to be believed, then returning tonight but lighter.

BTW here's the AWS trace from yesterday for up here. Shows a pretty classic warm frontal signature. Can't recall something like this in March before - but the memory is far from perfect..

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