The Australian Weather Forum

Very intense rainfall West of Sunbury at the moment would be absoutely bucketing down there

2 quick things to mention. First thing is if the low hits earlier than expected, will it kill the rain quicker or enhance it? Second thing is i'm not trying to favour certain people here but I think we all ought to mention Anthony who predicted the kind of totals we are getting 2 weeks ago (for this particular event), and for months on end now... just sayin...

Now steadily raining here, up to 10mm today.

One for you Sniper the BOM have issued a road weather alert ..bout time

These dewpoints are just amazing right across the state at the moment, haven't seen anything like this ever for such a sustained period and will probably continue for another 18-24 hours as well. That Melbourne dewpoint 'record' of 24.2 could well be in danger, currently 23.7 at the moment.

Battening down the hatches here. About to get very interesting.

HarleyB wrote:2 quick things to mention. First thing is if the low hits earlier than expected, will it kill the rain quicker or enhance it? Second thing is i'm not trying to favour certain people here but I think we all ought to mention Anthony who predicted the kind of totals we are getting 2 weeks ago (for this particular event), and for months on end now... just sayin...

Now steadily raining here, up to 10mm today.

Southerlies would kill the dynamics of the system and start the process of drying out the air mass, that's what I would think anyway. Most of the rain, if not all of it, is going to be on the east side of the low. We're going to end up with almost 250mm for this system I reckon. Mark my words.

Welcome aboard mattg87!! Neighbour:D
Peter

nice blob of yellow and red on radar near kilmore is lining melbourne up for a sucker punch in about an hour

Hmm this system is beginning to outplay the models a little I think. We will know more by tomorrow morning but I didn't quite expect Central areas to be lined up so severely today.

Natimuk Lake is overflowing making it worse for the town. Burnt Creek is flooded near Horsham The paddocks are full & water is running out The highway is covered in water between Horsham & Stawell
all is very wet & its still raining we have had over 5 inches 125 mils +

Rhino wrote:Well we don't want it here, someone else can have it , bugger off rain is that clear......

Rhino.

Just saw Carisbrook on the tube, Win News were reporting from there!

20mm here today in Monbulk. In Knoxfield at the moment so I don't have the rest of my figures for this event but I will try to update tomorrow.

Wow we are getting lined up big time here. Would normally weaken before it gets here but may be heavy enough to make it through! COME ON!!!!

Left work in Glenthompson at 4:40pm and had 27mm in the guage in Glenthompson, got to Dunkeld, seems they have had over 50mm yet only 18km away. The caravan park is flooded, roads are closed. Water everywhere and currently bucketing down, yet the radar only shows light rain... Water level is higher than when there was 80mm here only a month ago

Council out with earth moving equipment desperately trying to clear out our drains that have been neglected for years. Rain continues to Pour down. If we don't get another 50-75mm by tomorrow afternoon I'll be very surprised. Easily the biggest rain event in the history of the area.

Lol, at the censoring...

Droughtbreaker - how are you faring over there?? You sounded very worried earlier.
Peter

We have had light rain for most of the day, except for this morning when we had 20mm quick time. Been around the area and just that 20mm is causing problems. Our local roads are cut-off again, farm tracks are washed out and cannot pass in some parts. Radar indicating a wet night for here with heavy rain, so not going to be good.

Campaspe River is expected to go to major flood level upstream of Eppalock. Spillway will get a workout tomorrow.

The nearest I could find in the archive for event like this in Bendigo are: May 1893 - 121mm over 5 days. Feb 1911 - 182mm over 7 days.

Halls Gap looked incredible on WIN news tonight. They're in real trouble.

Looks like Mildura is gonna cop a ripping squall line

Big night ahead for the states west, and more rain into the N central areas too. I guess its fair to say that the Murray R system is "fixed" in terms of a full flush out. Acknowledge that Eucembene and Dartmouth are not full,... but the Hume is.

0.5mm here with a shower this morning and 17.5mm for this system. We will struggle to get much more without a lucky storm in the north-eastern edge of the cut-off low as it gets gobbled up SSW of Tassie tomorrow. Another 10mm would be nice but no whinges out this way, we wouldnt swap it for 100mm. Stilll a shamefull waste of near-record humidity/CAPE without even being within co-ee of a storm.

Couple of similar photo's taken with my phone, apologies about the quality...

Was on the Corner of Driscolls Lane and Sunraysia Highway, between St Arnaud and Donald, looking South (we'd already got it)

http://img547.imageshack.us/img547/1790/photo0861.jpg" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
http://img443.imageshack.us/img443/4020/photo0862m.jpg" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

EDIT: Way too big for forum (MoR)