The Australian Weather Forum

Absolutely
Radar filling in nicely with yellow
I love these strange little systems ..can really surprise
Won't go over 12c here
Going to be freezing afternoon

Looks like Melbourne's max. will be 11.3C; now on the way back down.

Looks like Melbourne's max. will be 11.3C; now on the way back down.

Watch out for the mild air behind the rainband. This system has the cold air on the eastern side of the low (completely wrapped around). Could easily see a 11 or 12C by 9am of course.. I could be wrong. BTW looked at the 850T. These are around 5C in western Vic and around -2C in central areas currently.

Knowing our 'luck', that is exactly what will happen.

There always just tooooo many forces behind keeping a lid on temps on Melbourne.

I wonder sometimes that it must be one of the crappest cities on Earth to forecast mins and maxs with so many different climatic influences (desert, Antarctica, tropical etc)

It is always a dissapointment to me to see temps stay below 10 for most of the day to only shoot up to 12 or 13 overnight or the next morning. It doesn't give a true reflection of the day.

Nevertheless, rain is now on its way and the temp is on the way down. Here's hoping to surprise snowfalls for all those elevated areas.

Hey Thunderclap keep us posted from Mt Macedon!
6C in Macedon now

hillybilly » Thu Jun 04, 2015 12:57 pm wrote:

hillybilly wrote:

Looks like Melbourne's max. will be 11.3C; now on the way back down.

Watch out for the mild air behind the rainband. This system has the cold air on the eastern side of the low (completely wrapped around). Could easily see a 11 or 12C by 9am of course.. I could be wrong. BTW looked at the 850T. These are around 5C in western Vic and around -2C in central areas currently.

But Mortlake at just 130 m asl 6.7 C at 1 pm? Looks like there is a lot of cold air a fair way back to the west in the lower levels? Very confusing system.

Edit: And now the rainband over Melbourne is back building towards the NW. Bizarre!

Temperature has dropped to 7.9C here in the Laverton/Sunshine West area. Might run out to the car later and get a reading from the dashboard.

But Mortlake at just 130 m asl 6.7 C at 1 pm? Looks like there is a lot of cold air a fair way back to the west in the lower levels? Very confusing system.

Inversion or more likely a stable layer with next to no decrease in temperature aloft. Temps are all over the place with cold air trapped below the rainband, and the cold air on the western side of the low now coming over the top into its northeastern side. Obs in SA are 2-5C warmer than similar places in Vic. Nice messy situation

EDIT-> down to 5.4C at home with a DP of ~1C - that would tend to put the snow level around 800m currently. Not far off snow, but don't think we'll dip low enough (typically need about 3C at our place).

Gut feeling says you'll be surprised hillybilly. This system is a lunatic with a mind of its own. Lol

This is looking very nice, nice big cold drops as well, totals could really add up as the afternoon progresses

9C IN MOORABBIN AT 50M ASL.

I swear I'm seeing some sleet mixed in with the rain atm in Ballarat, during heavy showers.

Yep, 4 C & trying to snow here. Fat blobs in the rain/ sleet.

I swear I'm seeing some sleet mixed in with the rain atm in Ballarat, during heavy showers.

Notice its down to 3.4c in Ballarat so sleet is not out of the Question.

Man is it dark outside Reminds me of those European winter days with heavy low cloud and blinding snowfalls.

Ofcourse it is just rain here hehe

Looking heavy to the west

I see Weatherzone is running a news article that a cold pool will travel the NSW Ranges with a chance of snow in Canberra or even Tamworth (wtf?) as they expect snow level to drop to 500m asl

FC down to 4C with a DP of 2C. That would tend to put the snowline around 700m, so getting close to sleet conditions for us. If rain continues, expect we could chill to about 3C which should be cold enough for sleet.

Set up reminds me a fair bit of the event in July 2013 when we got quite a bit of sleet but never quite turned to snow.

Not much rain so far. Only a couple of mm's here and there

Melbourne Airport down to 6.8C.