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Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 6:58 pm
by Meso
Today is pretty much a bust. Wouldn't be getting overly excited about Monday either...similar situation although higher instability, but moisture still seems to be lacking looking at the soundings...average DP's and LCL's are still pretty high. But as other have mentioned will be a stronger front, so you never know.

Need to wait a few weeks for things to really kick in to gear tho by the looks of it.

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 7:05 pm
by Geoff
I certainly wouldn't write this front off, we had 2 weak fronts cross Tassie this week both of which produced showers in the Melbourne area when none were forecast by the BOM. This one is both stronger and closer to us, so let's wait and see, it could just surprise a few of us. :)

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 7:19 pm
by Geoff
Looks like Tidal River on the Prom got a direct hit from that cell, be interesting to see the obs. when they update.

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 7:59 pm
by Geoff
Well, very strange obs from Wilsons Prom! We saw that big cell go right over there, and yet no rain recorded, but a huge rise in temps, from 12.1c to 18.3c in 30 minutes1??? :o

Date/Time
EST Temp
°C App
Temp
°C Dew
Point Rel
Hum
% Delta-T

17/07:30pm 18.3 16.8 15.2 82 1.8 W 17 39 9 21 1007.3 - 0.0
17/07:25pm 17.7 16.2 17.7 100 0.0 WNW 22 39 12 21 1007.3 - 0.0
17/07:00pm 12.1 7.8 12.1 100 0.0 NE 26 30 14 16 1006.0 - 0.0

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 8:33 pm
by aussiestormfreak
I'll give the weather until midnight to decide what it wants to do, still hoping that an evening thunderstorm may suddenly develop around Melbourne, just have to wait and see... :)

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 8:55 pm
by AUS_Twisted
Line forming SW looking a little better now, has a hard edge on radar with some CG's

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:18 pm
by adon
Hey maybe just a little wishfull thinking going on here but am I seeing a little infeed coming into the change coming into WA? Not a big one but must be getting some moisture from those warm SSTS off the central WA coast.

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:24 pm
by Dc449
Hearing bangs and thinking what the hell and its thunder!!!!!!

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:26 pm
by AUS_Twisted
Yep fairly decent thunder hear to, radar barely showing anything though

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:28 pm
by mad*moo73
Was it thunder? I thought it was fireworks???? Didn't see any lightning.

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:32 pm
by Dc449
Defs thunder here.

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:34 pm
by AUS_Twisted
It was thunder, DC and I wouldn't be able to hear the same fireworks if he is near the bay. Def wasn't a firework bang either

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:40 pm
by mad*moo73
Did you guys hear a lot of thunder within about 5-10 mins? I thought it was fireworks because the rumbles were almost constant. Am getting the odd rumble now & the neighbors dog is going nuts. Still yet to see any lightning........ Strange!!!!!!

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:41 pm
by aussiestormfreak
Funny, if it's thunder, then how come no lightning showing up on radar around Melbourne where you guys mentioned? Strange! :?: :?

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:41 pm
by Geoff
Singapore Airlines 747 has just gone over the eastern suburbs, sounded like thunder going over here! :roffl:

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:42 pm
by AUS_Twisted
aussiestormfreak » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:41 pm wrote:
aussiestormfreak wrote:Funny, if it's thunder, then how come no lightning showing up on radar around Melbourne where you guys mentioned? Strange! :?: :?
CC lightning wont show up on radar

BTW, Small cell showing up on radar now

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:43 pm
by aussiestormfreak
Geoff » Sat Sep 17, 2011 10:41 pm wrote:
Geoff wrote:Singapore 747 has just gone over the eastern suburbs, sounded like thunder going over here! :roffl:

Hahahahahahahaha! Yeah I know, a low-flying aircraft can sound like thunder! :D

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:46 pm
by Geoff
Geoff wrote:Singapore Airlines 747 has just gone over the eastern suburbs, sounded like thunder going over here!
Just shows how desperate we all are for some storms eh? lol!!! :hysteria: :roffl:

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:51 pm
by mad*moo73
Well a storm would keep me distracted from the footy which is giving me a nervous breakdown ATM. C'mon Carlton!

Re: Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Posted: Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:53 pm
by Dc449
lol i know what a plane sounds like! Unless the plane was circilings around for 15 minutes, but it was thunder i went outside after 10 minutes and the dog atarted going off.