Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

Meso · Post by **Meso** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 6:58 pm

Today is pretty much a bust. Wouldn't be getting overly excited about Monday either...similar situation although higher instability, but moisture still seems to be lacking looking at the soundings...average DP's and LCL's are still pretty high. But as other have mentioned will be a stronger front, so you never know.

Need to wait a few weeks for things to really kick in to gear tho by the looks of it.

Geoff · Post by **Geoff** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 7:05 pm

I certainly wouldn't write this front off, we had 2 weak fronts cross Tassie this week both of which produced showers in the Melbourne area when none were forecast by the BOM. This one is both stronger and closer to us, so let's wait and see, it could just surprise a few of us.

Geoff · Post by **Geoff** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 7:19 pm

Looks like Tidal River on the Prom got a direct hit from that cell, be interesting to see the obs. when they update.

Geoff · Post by **Geoff** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 7:59 pm

Well, very strange obs from Wilsons Prom! We saw that big cell go right over there, and yet no rain recorded, but a huge rise in temps, from 12.1c to 18.3c in 30 minutes1???

Date/Time
EST Temp
°C App
Temp
°C Dew
Point Rel
Hum
% Delta-T

17/07:30pm 18.3 16.8 15.2 82 1.8 W 17 39 9 21 1007.3 - 0.0
17/07:25pm 17.7 16.2 17.7 100 0.0 WNW 22 39 12 21 1007.3 - 0.0
17/07:00pm 12.1 7.8 12.1 100 0.0 NE 26 30 14 16 1006.0 - 0.0

aussiestormfreak · Post by **aussiestormfreak** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 8:33 pm

I'll give the weather until midnight to decide what it wants to do, still hoping that an evening thunderstorm may suddenly develop around Melbourne, just have to wait and see...

AUS_Twisted · Post by **AUS_Twisted** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 8:55 pm

Line forming SW looking a little better now, has a hard edge on radar with some CG's

adon · Post by **adon** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:18 pm

Hey maybe just a little wishfull thinking going on here but am I seeing a little infeed coming into the change coming into WA? Not a big one but must be getting some moisture from those warm SSTS off the central WA coast.

Dc449 · Post by **Dc449** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:24 pm

Hearing bangs and thinking what the hell and its thunder!!!!!!

AUS_Twisted · Post by **AUS_Twisted** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:26 pm

Yep fairly decent thunder hear to, radar barely showing anything though

mad*moo73 · Post by **mad*moo73** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:28 pm

Was it thunder? I thought it was fireworks???? Didn't see any lightning.

Dc449 · Post by **Dc449** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:32 pm

Defs thunder here.

AUS_Twisted · Post by **AUS_Twisted** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:34 pm

It was thunder, DC and I wouldn't be able to hear the same fireworks if he is near the bay. Def wasn't a firework bang either

mad*moo73 · Post by **mad*moo73** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:40 pm

Did you guys hear a lot of thunder within about 5-10 mins? I thought it was fireworks because the rumbles were almost constant. Am getting the odd rumble now & the neighbors dog is going nuts. Still yet to see any lightning........ Strange!!!!!!

aussiestormfreak · Post by **aussiestormfreak** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:41 pm

Funny, if it's thunder, then how come no lightning showing up on radar around Melbourne where you guys mentioned? Strange!

Geoff · Post by **Geoff** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:41 pm

Singapore Airlines 747 has just gone over the eastern suburbs, sounded like thunder going over here!

AUS_Twisted · Post by **AUS_Twisted** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:42 pm

aussiestormfreak » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:41 pm wrote:
aussiestormfreak wrote:Funny, if it's thunder, then how come no lightning showing up on radar around Melbourne where you guys mentioned? Strange!

CC lightning wont show up on radar

BTW, Small cell showing up on radar now

aussiestormfreak · Post by **aussiestormfreak** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:43 pm

Geoff » Sat Sep 17, 2011 10:41 pm wrote:
Geoff wrote:Singapore 747 has just gone over the eastern suburbs, sounded like thunder going over here!

Hahahahahahahaha! Yeah I know, a low-flying aircraft can sound like thunder!

Geoff · Post by **Geoff** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:46 pm

Geoff wrote:Singapore Airlines 747 has just gone over the eastern suburbs, sounded like thunder going over here!

Just shows how desperate we all are for some storms eh? lol!!!

mad*moo73 · Post by **mad*moo73** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:51 pm

Well a storm would keep me distracted from the footy which is giving me a nervous breakdown ATM. C'mon Carlton!

Dc449 · Post by **Dc449** » Sat Sep 17, 2011 9:53 pm

lol i know what a plane sounds like! Unless the plane was circilings around for 15 minutes, but it was thunder i went outside after 10 minutes and the dog atarted going off.

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Vic: Unstable Warm Weather Sept 16th- 19th

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