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Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 5:56 am
by dazrain
The last 18 days of December in Melbourne will not record a 30 degree day.

When did that last happen??

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 7:04 am
by hillybilly
dazrain wrote: Tue Dec 26, 2023 5:56 am The last 18 days of December in Melbourne will not record a 30 degree day.

When did that last happen??
Not a record with 2001 having 29 December days in a row below 30C. Still remarkable given how hot it’s been to our north.

Here south of Hobart our warmest day this December has been 26.7C and the average max 21C. Most pleasant months I’ve ever seen weather wise. Just a shame we missed this storm event.

The rain back in Victoria is remarkable. Funny how the pre monsoon period can do this in southeast Oz. Looks like another event brewing for next week two. The monsoon is running late and with the MJO unfavourable until mid January could well be three more weeks before it sets in proper. The combination of positive SAM and a weak monsoon is really unusual and means we get upper troughs plus a large area of moist easterlies.

For this system, slowly clearing but still expecting more big falls into west central and Gippsland. Will see some rain also spread into TAS for Wednesday, mainly focussed in the northeast.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 7:09 am
by Pengaz
22mm here since Sunday night. Happy with that at this time of year.

We managed to get a few dry hours in yesterday, but when it did rain it was dense! No storms.

Have woken up to thunder this morning. The slow moving storm complex that dumped 28mm on Sale in half an hour is now passing to our south. Not sure whether we’ll get much today but hoping for a storm.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 7:14 am
by Didjman
46mm here for the event so far.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 7:58 am
by James
Lots of rain but very frustrating in terms of thunder, we only had a storm slip by to the east around 6pm on xmas eve, then apart from the rain just a few distant rumbles late last night. I would hope we'd get some thunder eventually actually here, it seems pretty much everywhere else has had it it in abundance!

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 8:42 am
by StratoBendigo
Over 80mm for the event. A remarkable system.

Thankfully the creeks and rivers have peaked. The Avoca River at Logan managed to get to minor flood level, and flash flooding has subsided at Wedderburn.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 8:47 am
by Gordon
Another 13.5mm makes 64mm for the event and 114mm mtd. That's already our second highest December total in our 27 years here. (December is often a disappointing month for us.)

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 8:56 am
by Pengaz
Sale now up to 84mm, most of which has been since 5am. That would be causing some decent flash flooding. You getting any of that in Maffra Petros?

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 9:29 am
by stevco123
Over 30mm for the event here. Might got a possible late, short lived El Nino in late Jan/Feb, but one would think it's days are very much numbered

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 10:32 am
by Petros
Pengaz wrote: Tue Dec 26, 2023 8:56 am Sale now up to 84mm, most of which has been since 5am. That would be causing some decent flash flooding. You getting any of that in Maffra Petros?
Seen photos of flooded roads in the Maffra side estates just now. Sale was in the storm alley, Maffra had 2 storms over 45 minute period 4.30am for a total of 12mm, yesterday delivered 2.5mm in mostly fresh easterlies.

Be interesting to see if we get impacted by an easterly rainband or two today.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 1:17 pm
by James
can hear some faint rumbles of the storm to the north east, looks like it will all brush past this area again

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 1:27 pm
by jgcertified
It didn’t brush past here.. currently raining hard - might even top up the water tank

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 2:11 pm
by James
no thunder now, seems to have died, sounded scarier earlier with distant rumbles but now just light rain....

yep, all died....3 distant rumbles and light shower - the 2nd severe warned storm never even got here?

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 5:06 pm
by Cass
Thats was an interesting, over 2 days had 142mm of rain with 90 of that falling christmas day. Our road was impassable but still a lot tried saw one car with water over bonnet.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 7:40 pm
by Lucia
StratoBendigo wrote: Tue Dec 26, 2023 8:42 am Over 80mm for the event. A remarkable system.

Thankfully the creeks and rivers have peaked. The Avoca River at Logan managed to get to minor flood level, and flash flooding has subsided at Wedderburn.
Good to hear

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 7:47 pm
by Petros
A storm embedded ENE'ly rain band passed over us over past 90 mins, 11mm from that, takes me to 25.5mm for this thread, will be interesting to see if we "catch up" when the low gets closer to Merimbula and the inflow bands turn to the more favourable SE'ly direction.

Not that any farmer is hoping for more rain in Nth Central Gippsland.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 9:20 pm
by Pengaz
Narrowly missed a line of storms that rolled in from the north east this arvo. Dumped a quick 20-30mm on Drouin and caused a few incidents on the VicEmergency app.

Here’s a few pics of the front and back side of the storms. Very dynamic skies and an unusual trajectory for storms to take for this area.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2023 10:06 pm
by snowfall
Another huge, severe storm again today. Big booms, lots of lightning, and intense rainfall, probably the heaviest I have seen in many years, dropping around 50mm in about half an hour and more flash flooding. And then another 10mm in follow up rain…

We’re now on a massive 200mm or thereabouts for this event. Other than the coolish temps, it has almost felt monsoonal with the humidity, heavy rain, downpours and storms. The place is completely saturated.

Good to see that rain has been fairly widespread, hopefully not hampering festivities too much. Otherwise, it has been an amazing change in synoptics the past few weeks.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Wed Dec 27, 2023 10:27 am
by StratoBendigo
Bendigo airport official rain total for 2023 now stands at 523mm. Just below average but the last three months have been above average. Extraordinary for an El-Nino year.

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2023 7:42 am
by hillybilly
Good falls overnight in northeast TAS but missed here. Got a light shower with 0.2mm. Biggest dud I’ve seen here in two years. Progs had 30-60mm coming into it, but got less than 1mm. Great system for VIC, which is good to see.

Our mild troughie weather continues for another ten days. No complaints. Some showers in the swly flow initially then shifts back to easterly troughs with the odd shower and storm.