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Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 7:03 am
by hillybilly
Just shy of 20mm down here in southeast Tasmania. Looks like a very wet week… could well see over 100mm here. If EC verifies it will be our wettest October on record. Guess we will see
We have no flood risk here so no issues with excessive rain, though parts of southeast TAS do have flash flood risk.
Next system is taking shape over eastern south Australia and will eventually be a significant low near Flinders Island by mid week. Showers and storms will wrap around the top, with rain areas wrapping in from the Tasman Sea on the south and eastern parts. The whole event is moving a touch south, so looking more like an eastern VIC and eastern Tas event, though everywhere will see solid falls.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 11:31 am
by Tassiedave
Off topic but there is an impressive sub tropical LOW off South East Queensland at the moment.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 2:42 pm
by StratoBendigo
Walpeup just had 26mm in a storm. Swan Hill looks to be in the firing line. Hopefully it peters out asap.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 4:40 pm
by stevco123
Anyone know why BoM forecasting is so different to Weatherzone. It just seems like Weatherzone local forecasts has nailed every event for the past 12 months.
For tomorrow for example, it's been saying 1 to 10mm for the past 3 days. BoM was adamant on 30mm until the most recent forecast from 4.30pm today where 1 to 8mm is forecast now.
Also, they have a 75% chance of no rain tomorrow on their app, a d 50% chance of at least 1mm.
I seriously believe BoM may need to have a rethink on how things are run in the organisation. It used to be so good until it became an official government department a few years ago.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 6:52 pm
by Petros
Yesterday we had a couple of heavy showers passing through with the change midday - disrupting the Maffra Show, but it cleared for the later part of the day and evening fireworks.
That all tallied to 9.75mm to last evening.
A cool easterly day today, then the easterly winds freshened and went cold late arvo, now have thick easterly drizzle with a persistent cold easterly wind, 2.5mm so far, 12.25mm for this event so far, heaters on again here tonight. Another bullet might be dodged so far rainwise so far, but easterly rain here with a baro of 1015 hPa, and a full Lake Glenmaggie makes the cow cockies nervous.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 6:53 pm
by Petros
Petros wrote: ↑Sun Oct 23, 2022 6:52 pm
Yesterday we had a couple of heavy showers passing through with the change midday - disrupting the Maffra Show, but it cleared for the later part of the day and evening fireworks.
That all tallied to 9.75mm to last evening.
A cool easterly day today, then the easterly winds freshened and went cold late arvo, now have thick easterly drizzle with a persistent cold easterly wind, 2.5mm so far, 12.25mm for this event, heaters on again here tonight. Another bullet might be dodged rainwise again, but easterly rain here with a baro of 1015 hPa, and a full Lake Glenmaggie makes the cow cockies nervous.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:16 pm
by Pengaz
We’ve missed out on all the action here for this thread. Just 4.5mm yesterday from the band of showers yesterday morning.
Stiff easterly wind here most of the day with a couple of misty spells (not enough to wet the ground). Wind has really picked up this evening now up to 35kts.
Not sure what to expect here for the coming week. These systems are notoriously fickle for our area and we often get stuck in a dead zone with strong rain shadows to our north and east.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:19 pm
by Tassiedave
Massive line of showers storms stretching from Mt Gambier to Lightning Ridge looks great on the National Radar Loop
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:36 pm
by Lucia
stevco123 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 23, 2022 4:40 pm
Anyone know why BoM forecasting is so different to Weatherzone. It just seems like Weatherzone local forecasts has nailed every event for the past 12 months.
For tomorrow for example, it's been saying 1 to 10mm for the past 3 days. BoM was adamant on 30mm until the most recent forecast from 4.30pm today where 1 to 8mm is forecast now.
Also, they have a 75% chance of no rain tomorrow on their app, a d 50% chance of at least 1mm.
I seriously believe BoM may need to have a rethink on how things are run in the organisation. It used to be so good until it became an official government department a few years ago.
You have given me something to keep an eye on, I will watch with interest Weatherzones forecasting. Thanks
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 9:20 pm
by Gordon
Here, we've had 31.5mm til 9am yesterday, and another 5mm to 9am today. Only mist and a little drizzle since, but radar looking interesting.
137mm mtd.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 10:24 pm
by Wilko
Echuca about to be hit by a line of storms
That is the last thing they need
By the way the wind is ferocious this side of the Bay....geez I hate the easterlies
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 10:42 pm
by Supercellimpact
If this storm line holds, could be a rough nights sleep
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2022 11:08 pm
by Blackee
That’s an impressive total Gordon.
Not looking forward to another week of wet and grey tbh. This week with the added joy of southwesterlies.
The calmness of the last few days has been pretty pleasant.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2022 12:30 am
by Australis(Shell3155)
Rough sleep it is..
gusts over 50klm
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2022 2:11 am
by StratoBendigo
Ugh, heavy rain here over the past hour or so...
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2022 6:49 am
by hillybilly
Tassiedave wrote: ↑Sun Oct 23, 2022 11:31 am
Off topic but there is an impressive sub tropical LOW off South East Queensland at the moment.
That’s the low that gives eastern VIC and eastern Tasmania heavy rain later in the week. The current low near Coffs and the other near Mildura slowly drift south and interact, with the eastern low edging west.
Been a cold couple of days down here with a bit of snow on the mountain. Easterlies have now kick in so expecting showers to pick up today, and warmer air.
VIC is messy stuck between two lows so action mainly in the west and east and a bit of a hole in the middle. All very dynamic. The heavy falls overnight in the Mallee and Wimmera must be causing issues with the crops??
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2022 8:08 am
by StratoBendigo
Another 20mm overnight, 40mm since Friday.
MTD is 218mm which makes it the wettest month ever recorded in Bendigo (data from 1865). And the month isn't over yet
Previous wettest October was 207mm in 1975, previous wettest month was Feb 1911 with 214mm.
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2022 9:17 am
by Gordon
StratoBendigo wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 8:08 am
Another 20mm overnight, 40mm since Friday.
MTD is 218mm which makes it the wettest month ever recorded in Bendigo (data from 1865). And the month isn't over yet
Previous wettest October was 207mm in 1975, previous wettest month was Feb 1911 with 214mm.
That's an incredible total, and as you say, will have been added to already!
Another 12mm here, so we're likely to pass our 27 year October record of 155mm today - not quite in Bendigo's league though...
(I see the latest SWW has the Otways down for up to 150mm today - scary!)
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2022 9:46 am
by Australis(Shell3155)
StratoBendigo wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 8:08 am
Another 20mm overnight, 40mm since Friday.
MTD is 218mm which makes it the wettest month ever recorded in Bendigo (data from 1865). And the month isn't over yet
Previous wettest October was 207mm in 1975, previous wettest month was Feb 1911 with 214mm.
And you had such a dry period prior.. I was sure you guys mentioned missing out on a fair bit of the moisture..
All or nothing..
We have missed the big totals. The radar look like a piece of pie was missing around about 1 to 3 on the dial as that band came through..
Huey.. slow up dude. !
Re: Another rain bearing low: 20th - 23rd Oct
Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2022 9:51 am
by snowfall
7mm overnight, which brings the event total (since Friday) to 19mm here. Even though it's not a huge amount, the ground has turned slushy again, given how saturated it is.
Incredible total there SB and another case of a record being beaten by a considerable margin. Unfortunately, looks like a fair bit more rain up there again today.