Vic: Showers and windy - July 22 to 29

[droughtbreaker]

General model consensus is still showing -5C 850T for the southern half of VIC on Monday which I guess, if there is a shower or two about, could lead to some flurries down to about 500m or thereabouts. It's still a battle between the massive high to the west and the LWT. The concern is that the LWT will shoot through too quickly if it doesn't have the reinforcement from the inland low to strengthen and slow down the general pattern.

I need about 2-3mm here tomorrow to exceed 100mm for the month. This is basically two months worth of winter rain in El Nino terms so quite happy with that.

[droughtbreaker]

Hi Droughtbreaker. Acknowledging of course that this is a Victorian thread but is there enough moisture for us to get low level snow in Tassie? Many years ago people were on skis travelling over the Tasman bridge when snow fell in the Hobart CBD.

There may be some flurries in higher suburbs of Hobart but at this stage not right down to sea level. As for the rest of the state I would assume that most of the western half of the state will get heaps.