The forecast of about 6mm by Norwegian is going to look really foolish very shortly, at least 25mm through Central and Eastern areas. Haven't been able to work Out all week why models weren't on it, this heat is perfect breeding ground, trough is stalling and moisture aplenty..anyhow enjoy the night, looks very good!
Yep its all happening here. Just went and picked my 4 year old boy up from kinder....getting back in the car flash BBBBAAAAANNNG!!! He has just spent the last half hour learning about storms and how it all works...lol.
torrential rain here now. Constant light show and massive thunder as a result. Might turn pc off for a bit now!
That line looks very good on radar, Melbourne about to get some nice thunderstorms. In fact the trough is only in the far southwest currently, and probably will not reach Melbourne until 11pm or after now. Lots of opportunity for further thunderstorm activity to develop behind this line anywhere in the state. This could only be round 1. Will have to watch the radar in coming hours.
Here in Ballarat the temnp rose like a rocket, it was 21 @ 8am, by midday it was 31! The sky was building all afternoon with prefrontal/trough cells bellowing up, The first band came through right on knock off time 5pm. not much rain, plenty of wind and lightning/thunder. Saw some awesome CGs driving home. The next band should be here by middnight with another stormy rain band. Should turn to more general rain tomorrow as the system stalls. More afternoon storms possible tomorrow too then that will be if for the humid stuff and this system.
It will build again as Jake mentioned Sol, in keeping with the theme of this extraordinary weather, we have about 12 troughs ion the last 2 days lingering around.
Wind change currently moving through Western suburbs, looks very strong too, temps in Geelong now 19 compared with a very warm 33 in the CBDesert.
YESSS!!! 35.5C on my thermometer today!!! Another major milestone for me reached as the warm season progresses!
And although the temperature is cooling down (a bit... currently about 31C), the action is heating up!
I was out in Dandenong between 3PM and 4PM, managed to watch and photograph that large cell passing across the southern tip of the Mornington Peninsula, and to a lesser extent the one behind it around Anglesea
On the return trip home, I stopped up along Glenfern Road... and despite the haze, all across the west and south convection is going off like volcanic eruptions with massive cumulonimbus exploding!
Give it about an hour and those cells that are now over the Baccus Marsh/Melton area should reach the Dandenong Ranges. And since the cold front & low pressure trough are still a long way behind as you guys mentioned, after this squall line has gone through we may get more showers & thunderstorms overnight