Victoria: Trough - showers/rain/storms - 6th-10th November

[Jake Smethurst]

In saying that, I have just updated the chart. http://www.theaustralianweatherforum.co ... mchart.htm.

Currently here it is 23 degrees with a DP of 17 degrees and light WNW winds.

[HarleyB]

Don't think we will be seeing anything here at least today. Should get 30mm later on in the week though.

[droughtbreaker]

Well, it's cloudy here today with 8/8 cover in the mid layers and really not the sort of day you associate with storms developing. It has been humid all day today and the clear skies that I was expecting until mid afternoon have not eventuated.

If anything it will be more light rain here and maybe a few embedded heavier showers. It looks to me like we could be in for another humid and cloudy summer now that the La Nina influence is just starting to become apparent with increasing moisture levels over the continent.

[TheFishmanAU]

Here is hoping for something today as it has been epic fail with storms lately. They are everywhere else but here. I saw one flash of lightning Friday 28th October. 28th September was the last storm of note but nothing like the epic one of 2 December 2010 or the ones of yesteryear

[Meso]

It's a bit clearer back towards the border, so you never know. Something might get up.

[apocalypse]

I guess the cooler air aloft is coming in handy, even though the surface is quite dry (currently 32.5/7.8), the higher temps are enough to produce convection. Small cells popping up now to the W and NW and are lightning active.

[Anthony Violi]

Nice cap on things atm, with very warm air sitting just above the surface. Will hopefully push East a bit, and the new airmass move in. Looks like most action will be mid level, nothing on the surface yet behind this band, though with clearance you never know.

Front entering the state this arvo may be enough to trigger some action tonight and overnight. Strangely enough cloud developing behind the front..

Edit: Actually a fair bit of stuff developing in the Western part of Vic ahead of the front as well, so this area north of Mt Gambier to Dunkeld could get going this arvo, but marginal atm.

[johnno]

Plenty on the surface in North Eastern Vic at the moment exploding up there in clearer air

[Alexia]

I can hear thunder.32c

[WaterBaby]

20c /16dp here.... Hoping like crazy that we'll get something, but we usually miss out.

[HarleyB]

Big line of storms forming in the NE, lucky them. I still don't think we will see anything here today

[Dane]

All the action is in the far NE of the state and over the border in NSW, Lokks like it may stay that way as well.
Certainly not expecting any thunder here, just a few spots of rain and currently 25/14.

[Petethemoskeet]

Very warm to hot day and muggy up here,with storms exploding everywhere.Had 2 good cells over us already.Been a while since we've had some good storms.Radar is looking good for the next few hours so rainfall totals should get a good kick along.Has been very dry lately so this rain is welcome.

[James]

well thats it then.......I'll see what the other days bring but its been dissapointing so far here the last month or so storm wise.

[Meso]

Yeah, another dud day for most of Vic. The NE was always progged to be the most unstable tho, plus they had clear air up there prior to storms kicking off and the trough lining up well to act as a trigger. I would say our problem was the front that was supposed to trigger storms from the west was probably too far south to do any real damage, plus the terrible overcast skies which have kept a lid on things.

[TheFishmanAU]

Yet again, another weather fail. My theory of a storm force field gathers momentum.

[I_Love_Storms]

Today never looked that good. Tuesday and Wednesday should deliver, keenly awaiting some warm, humid, wet weather with scattered storms, on those days I'm expecting it won't be if but when. Instability looking great.

[James]

lol i was under the impression from reading on here that today was the best out of them...i guess it comes down to, it will do that it will do...

[Dc449]

So thats it for the day? Looking forward to Tues and Wed now then!

[Meso]

lol i was under the impression from reading on here that today was the best out of them...i guess it comes down to, it will do that it will do...

That's why you shouldn't take anyone's word on here as gospel. And if you go back over the thread I'm sure you'll find plenty of mentions of the NE being in the firing line for today. If you really wanna get a better idea of whats going to happen try learning to read the models and everything else involved yourself...it's not easy.

Anyway, on to Wednesday...should be great if you enjoy the sound of thunder and rain, but can't see it being one to get the camera out for. I'm over La Nina already, the novelty of it made it interesting last year. But, these cloudy, humid days get old pretty quickly.