Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

[I_Love_Storms]

EC hammers eastern subs

[StratoBendigo]

Rain getting heavier here. Feels like it'll set in for several hours....

[Hawker]

Nice, steady rain here for the past 2 hours,
looks set in for the night.
Storms up in the Mallee, but look to be heading down the Murray.
More rain developing near Adelaide that could have storms in it later,
that lot might come our way.

Looks to be a good cold air field behind the front, could be productive
as well in the north west air flow.

[Horts]

Annnnd we have rain on the Peninsula!

Annnnd as soon as I type this it's gone

Solid 1.5mins there!

Rye down to Portsea seems to be bucketing according to radar, everything above and east bone dry.

[I_Love_Storms]

Lightning beginning to spark further south now. Eyes on weatherzone radar

[hillybilly]

Progs keen for about 25mm here next 24 hours. They've not really budged from that so gotta be pretty confident.

Radar looks to be on track. The system is strengthening and the rain will thicken up through the evening.

Gusty winds here, but falling short of damaging with only the odd small branch down. Apart from the wind it felt nice out there in the sun today.

Btw keep in mind that the radar can't see rain which isn't moving towards or away from the radar. This means that rainbands going northwest to southeast will appear to have holes in the southwest to northeast direction. That's why the rain appears to die then form again with a band of low or no rain in the southwest to northeast direction. This effect then plays out on top of the rainshadow and the bounce rain in the lee of the ranges (actually gravity waves, like those you get on the ocean).

Anyone heard thunder yet?

[Hawker]

Not yet, but I reckon I have a good chance in a few hours

[I_Love_Storms]

Hopetoun and Walpeup both got 15mm in last hour in radar hole. Big line of storms developing, hopefully it'll stretch to melbourne

[Hawker]

Beat me to it ILS, there is something good in the hole

[JasmineStorm]

entree is becoming quite a large serve - here are some Macedon Ranges numbers to 8pm after 2 hours.

Kyneton (my station) 8mm and reporting a consistent 5mm /hr
Daylesford 12 mm
Creswick 15mm
Blackwood 13mm
Trentham 11mm

[Gordon]

11 mm here so far.

[stevco123]

What a SoB!

It split right in the middle

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Not a Drop !

Glad I watered...

[I_Love_Storms]

Patience this first band is junk for us, the next one is bigger

[StratoBendigo]

Looks like a significant cell over Birchip on satpic. Charlton in the firing line and one to watch.

[Timster]

Last hour has seen Ballarat ramp up significantly, and we are just missing out here at Scarsdale. Never mind the mower was kicking up bow waves yesterday so I dont actually need any more rain. However looks like more on the way, hopefully with some lightning activity

[Hawker]

If rain is showing up on the 256 Melbourne radar
around Donald and Charlton it must be heavy.

[I_Love_Storms]

The lightning tracker is going off!!!

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/radar/vic

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[Hawker]

just had thunder here, I suppose that means there was lightning as well

[JasmineStorm]

Spot on ILS..... I've just hit play on the doors 'riders on the storm' .... Loads of instability in this one. Meanwhile the gauges are still ticking over before the main course arrives up here.