The Australian Weather Forum

The Sky has got that really unstable look, plently of Cu have popped up in the past hour with half decent showers to the south. Melbourne has
already hit 23 so 25-26 is a real chance.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DAMAGING WIND, FLASH FLOODING and LARGE HAILSTONES

For people in parts of the Mallee, Northern Country, Wimmera, North Central and Central Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:43 am Wednesday, 6 October 2010.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Bendigo, Seymour, Daylesford, Maryborough, Castlemaine and Kyneton.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Keep clear of fallen power lines.
* secure any loose objects in the vicinity of your home.
* keep away from creeks and drains.
* do not drive vehicles through flooded areas.
* stay indoors if possible.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* if you are outside, avoid sheltering under trees
* listen to the radio for storm updates
* switch off your computer and electrical appliances

The next warning is due to be issued by 1:45 pm.

If severe thunderstorms develop in the Melbourne Area, a more detailed Severe Thunderstorm Warning will be issued to people in this area.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at http://www.bom.gov.au" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; or call 1300 659 217. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Just popped outside here at work. The wind has brought the surface temps down a little now, and a lots of messy cloud moving over head. avg wind speed would be approximately 25-28km/h.

Sadly radar is showing those smaller cells drying up as the reach metro areas, and then kicking off along the Mornington area. I am crossing my fingers the heat keeps up for a little bit longer for any hope of real rain or storm type weather in this area.

Wind profile over Melbourne this morning.....

LAT LONG TIME ALT DIR/SPD
3744S 14454E 052200 25000 336/027
3744S 14453E 052200 23000 339/027
3744S 14453E 052201 20000 353/030
3744S 14452E 052201 16000 360/033
3744S 14451E 052201 13000 003/031
3743S 14450E 052202 11000 003/023
3742S 14450E 052202 8000 004/024
3741S 14450E 052202 5000 003/022

We're 75km south of Bendigo, just stopped for a look at the Kyneton turnoff, very dark, low, unstable air moving rapidly towards Mt Macedon. Resisted the urge to stop too long & snap condensation funnels. Back on the road towards Bendigo now. Very surprised by how cool it is out here.....

I have seen some ripping towers around today

Let's see what this line coming down from the NW brings.

Rog.

Prepare for a very nice squall across Melbourne.

Large hail also a chance too.

Expecting 20-30mm out of the event judging by radar.

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST
Issued at 11:56 am Wednesday, 6 October 2010,
Valid until midnight on Wednesday, 6 October 2010.

A trough of low pressure over western Victoria is producing thunderstorms at the
time of issue. This trough will move slowly eastwards and the warm, moist and
unstable airmass will contract to the east during the day ahead of a cold front
expected to reach western Victoria during the afternoon. Some of these
thunderstorms may become severe with damaging winds, large hail and flash
flooding possible. There is less of a risk west of the trough.

Cheers Sniper!

Feeling very unstable out there. Can't wait!

Clyve got a shortlived rotating wall cloud west of Maldon and is currently scouting between Bridgewater & Serpentine on the west side of an elevated storm band. No surface initiaion as yet....surface temps suppressed by rain.... (and I'm sitting in Abbotsford getting virtually no work done!)

temps sitting on about 24 here in bayswater. Clouds have brought a nice shadow over us making it feel quite a bit colder than it is. Winds have stayed relatively constant for the last hour. Radar showing huge increase in the rainfall areas now. Looks like this lot may smash through the rain shadow for sure today.

Hoping this early cloud, storms doesn't dampen the later convection, still some nice clearer air west of this band ahead of the change, this will be the area for big storms later I feel, hopefully spreading to Melb later.

Nick

looks like steve & i are on your tails brad, jane & john.
we're in a green ef falcon sedan. we just hit marong, heading towards mildura. chasing the clear air john mentioned.
20km from bridgewater
0488 667 197

Looking aggro to the NW. Suspect straightline wind to begin then a fairly heavy burst of rain.

Another line of storms likely in Melbourne from 5pm ahead of the wind change.

Won't dry out for a while now!!

Thunder here in Sunshine, getting the edge of it.

Rumbling thunder and very heavy rain for the last hour or so, after a very nice warm humid morning, hope there is more on the way

LOL @ Jane not getting any work done I've got an 11 year old here with a broken finger, so we're spending the day in and out of doctor's surgeries, heading off to a plastic surgeon later. Honestly, how inconsiderate of him to break his finger when there's storms about

City looks like getting smashed if this red cell holds, pouring here now.

at this stage, there is a red-dark red patch heading sgtraight towards me. Will keep everyone posted

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - MELBOURNE AREA
for DAMAGING WIND, FLASH FLOODING and LARGE HAILSTONES

For people in the
Inner and parts of the
Eastern,
Northern and
Western Local Warning Areas.

Issued at 12:32 pm Wednesday, 6 October 2010.

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 12:20 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on weather radar near Woodend and the area northwest of Gisborne. These thunderstorms are moving towards the southeast. They are forecast to affect Gisborne, Mt Macedon and Sunbury by 12:50 pm and Broadmeadows, Melbourne Airport and Tullamarine by 1:20 pm.

Damaging winds, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones are likely.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Keep clear of fallen power lines.
* secure any loose objects in the vicinity of your home.
* keep away from creeks and drains.
* do not drive vehicles through flooded areas.
* stay indoors if possible.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* if you are outside, avoid sheltering under trees
* listen to the radio for storm updates
* switch off your computer and electrical appliances

The next warning is due to be issued by 1:35 pm.