The Australian Weather Forum

jimmyay wrote: ↑Mon Dec 11, 2023 4:17 pm 7 completely sunless days in the last 2 weeks in Melb.

Must be some kind of record for the time of year!

Yeah good call there. The grey gloom has been reminiscent of June/July days but without the cold temps. Didn't see sun once on the weekend

41C in Mildura and 16C on the west coast. That’s a crazy gradient. Don’t imagine it gets much stronger, particularly given the lack of a cold front.

Rain really patchy today as expected.

The main low back in SA is now weakening and will be caught by the westerlies. Not expecting a lot more for VIC, though with storms will be some local heavier falls. Another hot day tomorrow for northern Vic.

Rain spreading into TAS from about late tomorrow, heaviest in the west.

6mm today. 89mm MTD.

Just scraped a storm early this evening. Not much rain, as we were a few kms too far east. But we had what I reckon was the loudest thunder clap I have ever heard. It shook the house like an earthquake and caused a power surge. We’ve also been in fog almost constantly since saturday morning. Today was a real pea-souper - dense fog all day and tonight with visibility down to about 30 metres or so. It’s going to seem very bright when the sun finally appears!

Very bright! And like a sauna as well!

Macedonian wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 10:24 am Very bright! And like a sauna as well!

My pws showed temp 25/25 at one point - thought it was a faulty reading. Currently25/24!

TS fcast for tomorrow around Melbourne is sobering. Severe storms likely with heavy rain/large hail and damaging winds.

Most recent sounding for Melbourne indicates a pretty low lifted index, and Windy.com has elevated CAPE values all around Melbourne this afternoon. It also just “feels” unstable - warm and humid and hazy on the surface with some high clouds around. Wouldn’t shock me at all to see some nice storms popping up soon.

Of course it’s Melbourne so I’m not getting my hopes up too much

Nah, chances for Melbourne is close to ZERO

Arrived back from a week up the coast yesterday to find 28mm in the gauge over past 7 days, mostly over the weekend and from a noisy overnight storm Sunday night from what I hear.

The moisture over E Vic looks extremely high going by the current water vapour sat image. Its extremely humid here, no sunshine all day. Maybe sodden old Maffra might soon become mouldy sodden old Maffra.

That warm front analysed on the current MSLP chart is over Vic SE ranges right now with large storms taking off. The TT charts show only slow steering winds so they might stay up there, if not we are in for another dousing.

jimmyay wrote: ↑Mon Dec 11, 2023 4:17 pm 7 completely sunless days in the last 2 weeks in Melb.

Must be some kind of record for the time of year!

This has bean the pattern for a fair while…..


And to top things off…. Wet floors.. what filth has now been handed out after such drab days..

1st time our evaporative cooler has not been effective due to humidity
Instability trying to get going North of Melbourne
Definitely going to be interesting 24hrs ahead

Pretty decent CAPE should persist around Melbourne well into the evening. I would keep an eye on those storms around the northern outskirts.

Edit: one of the better light shows in recent memory now taking place from here in Berwick

Edit 2: quick video I took of the view from my back yard:

Absolutely fantastic Lightning show WOW WEE

Dangerous storms. Cloud to ground lightning. Definitely hitting power terminals

Bullseye here in Highett
I could have sworn that sky flashed Green a couple of times
Full on charged up

nice lightning, saw the whole horizon flash blue then slowly die away, assume it hit some power station or something!

no rain whatsoever and just distant rumbling, would be quite serious if you were under that!

Nice little reminder of what we've been starved

Last chance for storms today. Looks pretty hit and miss for VIC, but probably better for TAS. Precip water values are exceptionally high, but system is being dragged south.

Hoping to get at least 10mm here, but might struggle. Starting to get dry down here.

TBH this system has been pretty underwhelming again for most of us. Some spots have done great, but many have only had 5-15mm. Bit of a waste of all that humidity, instability and exceptional Synoptics.

Ripper of a lightshow with booming thunder currently pushing through here at work, including 2 massive bolts which rapidly changed my mind about going outside to check the letterbox.

Equally impressive storm last night about 11pm which ruined my sleep & sent the Kelpie running for our bedside.

Constant big booms to West of here
Looking at radar we will get the tail end

nothing at all here yet, no rain no thunder today, however the atmosphere is very primed, the sun and humidity is intense!