12mm here from the rain, the *horrible* Flemington station on the BoM only says 3mm. always about half of what i receive. Must be under a highrise flat.
Very cool week ahead for the state. Not just cool days, but significantly cool nights from about mid week onwards. If anything it is a return to 'normal' early Autumn weather. We should still see some warm spells this month but it looks like it will be generally stable as the anticyclones strengthen up and move a little northwards. With any luck we will see perfect conditions for Autumn colour after a few shockers in recent times.
Go and have a look at that rain gauge site Nafets.
We had 13mm here and not a drop wasted, all falling slowly over 12 hrs, just fantastic.
North Gippsland is green and in my opinion will not whiten off now that we have the onset of Autumn.
Had a couple of beers with other locals and cockies before (golf got cancelled at Maffra), and the group consensus was that "we" (at our average age 55 yo) will never see these conditions again. I must add that the group are confident that normal rain will continue through to next summer - God knows after that. The group of 6 comprises older farmers and slightly younger very amateur weather enthusiests (like me) - no qualifications ,but I bet a slab that we are closer than that Ross Garaunlt (sorry - spelling)!! Those with an opinion in this area which is totally dependant on rain do not believe in carbon induced global warming, yet our school teacher golfers (I DO like school teachers) stand back to back defending it. Each to thier own, but interesting eh?
[edit] - have a look at Tuesday! "Blue cold line" into Bass Straight, and SW squally showers like as if its late May!!!!
EC has 4mm down for tommorrow here, so the trough must be lingering tommorrow and trigger a few showers and maybe a storm but Storm cast isn't very encourging at all. I reckon the chance of a few showers tommorow is at about 50%.
The BOM data is probably taken from there, but not at regular intervals - hence the mis-match of numbers (BOM at 3mm, MW at 8.4). Still, significant difference between your 12mm and 8.4mm - more than 30% variation.
If that cell could track a tiny bit north we will get hit, also it's moving quite fast and developing an Inflow or Outflow tail? on the North Eastern Side
18mm here this morning in a huge suprise , not a storm just very humid wet rain, typical of this summer. Incredibly Horsham airport has recorded 43mm just north of Horsham. What will happen for the rest of the day, will it fine up?
IDV65758
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria Regional Office
THUNDERSTORM FORECAST
Issued at 11:22 am Monday, 28 February 2011,
Valid until midnight on Monday, 28 February 2011.
Very moist air still persisting in the far north and with a trough or surge in the southerly flow moving across the northern border later this afternoon or evening there is still the chance of thunderstorms developing when the trough moves through. Thunderstorms more likely about the far northeast due to higher instability. Drier southerly air should follow the change.