Victoria: Rain/storm event - 6th-10th December 2010 (Obs)

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

Severe Weather Warning
for flash flooding
for people in the South West, North Central, Northern Country, Wimmera, Mallee,
Central and North East forecast districts.

Issued at 10:33 pm EDT on Tuesday 7 December 2010.

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough over South Australia will reach western Victoria on
Wednesday morning then extend to central regions late in the day and to the
east by Thursday morning.

Rain and thunderstorms which may lead to flash flooding are forecast for the
South West, North Central, Northern Country, Wimmera, Mallee, Central and North
East forecast districts. The heavy rainfall will spread from the west tonight
to reach central Victoria on Wednesday afternoon before extending to
northeastern Victoria later in the day.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
- Don't drive, ride or walk through flood water.
- Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Wednesday.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; or call 1300-659-217*.

The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being
broadcast regularly.

[Rhino]

Was just looking at that storm near Renmark, on the Adelaide radar it's red, on the Mildura radar it's dark green. Watch out if you see red on the Midura radar I say.

Rhino.

[Timster]

Lots of CC flangs west of me in Scarsdale. Nothing too photogenic sadly but did grab one for those of you who can't see it yet... but damn it the board says it's attahement quote has been reached....

Just got a text from someone at SES phone centre.... busy as all get out apparently!

[Skywalker]

Really enjoying reading all the posts regarding the action out west, keep them coming in guys.

Nothing happening here. Only action so far is a frightening encounter with a huntsman earlier in my shed!

[Australis(Shell3155)]

On another note: has anyone seen the radar like this before on the Adelaide one? That looks so severe!

Not at this time of night, very unusual. The trigger is massive.

I asked the same earlier.
I know I havnt.. Id hate to think what it will be like over there by the morning.

[damiantheomen]

are the line of thunderstorms not enough to get a STA from the BOM or do they all go to sleep at 7pm because no one but us weather nuts are veiwing their updates?????

Was going to call my work partner in the moring to see where this systems at but looking at that radar I'll sleep in -

the heavy rain seemed to miss us this afternoon in Skye but eveidence up the road on the way home around waterways /springvale rd of heavier falls.

[Andy]

Your welcome to come pick me up in Wagga. It's not too far.

Ha, thats kind of funny

Still a few flashes from the west. I was hoping to stay up but I dont think this will get here till about 1 or 2. Gotta drive from Geelong to Lillydale in the morning, not looking forward to that at all......

Feels like I'm in Thailand outside!

[Rhino]

Well that band is starting to be picked up by the melb radar so will get a good look at it over the next 30mins or so.

Rhino.

[adon]

Well rain not all that heavy. Still solid but more like thundery rain. Thunder rattling the whole plant though! Not overly comfortable sitting in a room on the top of a 30m tall STEEL plant!

[schitzengiggles]

The storm is moving ESE at 26Km/h and is Steady. The storm is 252Km away.
ETA: 9 Hour(s), 42 Minute(s). (11:06:05 PM)
Prediction: The storm is over 9 hours
away, it doesn't look likely to reach your location.


This is from my weather tracking program and is tracking the storm inbetween Stawell & Horsham towards my location in Doncaster.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Havnt been game to step outside.
Mozzies had their feed from me this morning.

22.6c
71 humidity
1007 Baro,

[Ausmammal]

Just took the dogs out and it's still warm. Belgrave saying 23.1C. No annoying insects as it's a little windy here atm keeping them away.

[schitzengiggles]

Mortlake cell

The storm is moving E at 38Km/h and is Steady. The storm is 189Km away. ETA: 4 Hour(s), 58 Minute(s). (11:09:58 PM)
Prediction: The storm is over 4 hours
away, it doesn't look likely to near your location.

[DarkEye]

Mortlake cell

The storm is moving E at 38Km/h and is Steady. The storm is 189Km away. ETA: 4 Hour(s), 58 Minute(s). (11:09:58 PM)
Prediction: The storm is over 4 hours
away, it doesn't look likely to near your location.

Any chance you could do my end, that'd be great.

[schitzengiggles]

The model doesn't guarantee that anything will hold, but I'll check out the most likely scenarios for you.

edit - no storms within 200km of Mt Gambier radar.

[Ausmammal]

Mortlake cell

The storm is moving E at 38Km/h and is Steady. The storm is 189Km away. ETA: 4 Hour(s), 58 Minute(s). (11:09:58 PM)
Prediction: The storm is over 4 hours
away, it doesn't look likely to near your location.

What software is that? The Morlake cell looks like it's moving S.E to me on BOM 256km. Or is the radar a little deceptive?

[Wilko]

Been watching this Adelaide radar all day
I have never seen anything like it..and some amazing storm pictures from over the border
I cannot ever remember a storm/rain requence like this year..reminds me of Nth Qld
2 questions:
What are the chances of Central Vic seeing this type of action tomorrow or will it been more of a thundery rain event ?
Will Melbourne be effected by the Rain shadow by the forecast Northerlies ?

[schitzengiggles]

A monitor that comes with your ASWA subscription.

Basically, you tell it where you are, and if it sees red/dark red cores on the radar (you can adjust the sensitivity) it tells you where they are and how far off they are, and your computer makes a rumble noise.

Additionally, it's got a couple of lightning trackers, and some data logging can be done. A few other nifty things I'm yet to figure out.

Essentially, it factors in all of the models and available data - things you can probably get elsewhere, but just puts them all in one handy place.

[Nick Sykes]

Looks like a few showers developing to the NW of Melb near Macedon, will keep an eye on them. The stuff over W Vic will take ages to get here, if it doesn't die before it gets here.

Nick

[Ausmammal]

A monitor that comes with your ASWA subscription.
.

Thank you.