AWF Update @ 2pm
Areas of rain and isolated thunderstorms continuing across many parts of W and C VIC in association with a strong trough and cold front. This activity is now becoming severe over parts of C ranges presenty with flash flooding.
The activity is becoming increasingly convective and this will see rainfall rates at times trend towards 100mm/hr in thunderstorms over the coming 12hr period and concentrate over Melbourne and the NE ranges.
Concerns for flooding will begin from about 5-6pm and increase onwards overnight wqith the hot spots being around Melbourne, C ranges and W ranges and developing later over the NE ranges.
Melbourne:
Saturday: Showers and the chance of thunderstorms tending to rain throughout over the coming with locally heavy falls becoming more widespread later. N winds becoming light and varaible. Rainfall rates of 10mm/hr likely to develop over the coming few hours.
Sunday: Heavy rain periods easing to showers later. The chance of a morning thunderstorm. Local flooding easing later. Strong and gusty SW winds reaching gale force through the morning. 17C
Monday: Showers, increasing later. Chance of late thunder and hail. Becoming colder. 19C
Tuesday: Showers, more extensive over the eastern suburbs. Local hail and thunder. 15C
Wednesday: Showers, more extensive over the eastern suburbs. Local hail and thunde'r. 15C
Next Update at 4pm
http://www.bom.gov.au/vic ---------------------------> For the latest official warnings.
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Keep an eye on the rain coming into Bendigo-Echuca with severe rainfall rates as diurnal heating above will aid in higher rainfall. This will move down into Melbourne over the coming 2hrs. Rainfall of 10-15mm in the last hour over Laverton may just be the entree with local hourly falls in mature thunderstorms which will train over regions, reaching 30mm an hour.