VIC: Cold outbreak with showers/hail 15-17 October'10

[Gordon]

Over 30 mm here since this lot started on top of 18 mm earlier in the week. Temps slowly and steadily dropping - 6 C now.

[Duckey]

Hmmm supposed to be heading up to Avoca for their Race Day tomorrow....it's going to be very wet up there! I wonder what the chances are that they'll be cancelled? How much rain would they need for that to happen, does anyone know?

[chillout]

duckey I reckon it could be all over and caulfield too....

Cancelling depends on alot of things, timing especially. If the rain stops overnight and there is some wind to dry the track out a bit it could be a chance to go ahead.

[Blackee]

Duckey, I'd suggest that the meeting would be abandoned, but keep an eye on http://www.racingvictoria.net.au/racing ... ode=825304


Edit: Moderate & Major Flood Warning out for the Mitta Mitta (US of Dartmouth) & Tallangatta Creek.

[tizza]

Looking at the radar places like Richmond in the past hour must have absolutely copped it, the yellow areas on the radar over that region just to the East of the CBD have stalled and they must be getting close to some flash flooding!

Yes we did but it wasn't as heavy as it looked on radar. It was a little earlier though, I'm guesstimating we definitely have had more rain than the CDB!

[adon]

The sun has come out here....dunno how long for but was still getting rain while the sun was out. Looking to be building again. As twisters has said the upper cold pool looks to be now a low and cloud looks to be thickening in response to it so may get some more yet. Might be up to 18mm by now but not really that important now.....it's wet!!!! This will get me through to harvest now.... for the fist time in 4 years we WILL have a crop!

[stratospear]

The Low is really starting to "bomb" now. Albury & Gabo Island Baro down to 984 Hpa...

I'm over 35mm since midnight and still raining.

[Lily]

This will get me through to harvest now.... for the fist time in 4 years we WILL have a crop!

Awesome, Adon! And well deserving of a bunnydance lol

Temp has been steadily dropping since this morning, now down to 10.6, Baro 992.8Hpa and 22.2mm.

[Leasy]

Baro is reading 994 and I have had 23.1mm of rain, lovely!

[Skywalker]

Up to 24.5mm here now. Best system for this area since the March storms, lakes starting to form in my backyard. Fantastic system!

[Blackee]

Just a note to our friends around the Gippsland Lakes.

Increasing rainfall along with plummeting air pressure coupled with gale force winds may see the Gippsland Lakes flood at high tide.

[Proteous]

Have just ticked over 27mm here and still plenty of rain about. Calm and 13.3deg.

[Proteous]

Good point Sniper, I'll be watching it very closely.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Arrived home to Baro 991 now up to 992
18mm
46.5MTD. now have to read this thread backwards few pages to catch up on..

[firestorm]

22mm here rain has stopped for now but the wind is increased from the S/SW gusting upto 70km/hr

[Lily]

See the warnings thread for updated BOM, Vicroads Flood Alerts and SES alerts http://www.theaustralianweatherforum.co ... f=16&t=707


Full Story: http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/prepar ... 5938908424

Prepare for wild weekend weather conditions

Aaron Langmaid From: Herald Sun October 15, 2010 12:00AM 25 comments
UPDATE 12.54pm: THE SES has established two incident control centres this morning in case wild weather causes floods.

Flood and storm warnings were issued for Victoria by the weather bureau this morning, as wild weather started battering the state just a month after being hit by the worst floods in 15 years. The weather was not predicted to be as severe as the floods of early September that caused millions of dollars in damage to properties.

However, the State Emergency Service, along with other emergency services, had established two incident control centres at Bendigo in the north and Wangaratta in the north-east to prepare for flooding. Minor flood warnings have already been issued for the Kiewa River, upper Murray River and Seven Creeks-Castle Creek in the north-east and Campaspe River further west.

Flood watches and severe weather warnings for damaging winds and flash flooding have been issued for areas all over the state, including Alpine areas, western, north central, northern country, Wimmera, central, west and South Gippsland, East Gippsland and northeast areas. The rainy weather is forecast to continue until Monday.

"Most of the rain will come when it hits the mountains of the Great Dividing Range, which is a similar area to what was hit in September, but it will not be as severe," SES spokesman Lachlan Quick said. "We're expecting 100mm of rain on top of the ranges and 75mm to 50mm as you go further down. The likelihood is that only one or two (the Upper Murray and Mitta Mitta River) systems may get major flooding. It is difficult to quantify what level the floods will be until the rain eases."

VicRoads has urged drivers to take care on slippery roads throughout Victoria, by slowing down in slippery conditions, using headlights and leaving a greater distance between their own car and the one in front. They should also listen to local radio reports for information.

Heavy rain, strong and gusty winds moving across eastern Australia may also cause disruptions to flights today arriving at Melbourne, Canberra, Sydney, Brisbane and Gold Coast airports, Airservices Australia said.

The is also a gale warning for Port Phillip, and a strong wind warning for Western Port.

The weather bureau says Melbourne has already been close to the forecast top temperature for the day, and the mercury is expected to fall from here. A shivery 16C was forecast, and although it was only 14C about 8am, it dropped to 11.9C about noon, it had been an almost balmy 18.3C just before 1am.

[Blackee]

Major Flood Warning issued for Murray River upstream of Lake Hume.

[stratospear]

That should just about push Lake Hume to overflow!

[Karl Lijnders]

Just fantastic corner turning rainfall! The drought is well and truly over for many areas now and if there are any naysayers well a week from now we will be staring down the barrel at another reasonable statewide event.

24mm here and rising nicely. Could be another 5-10mm with this band before the showers develop later this evening, hail and thunder in the morning, so another 20mm is likely out here.

What a wonderful soaking system after the mid week rainfall.

[Blackee]

Experiencing the heaviest rain of the day. Really belting into the windows.
Wind is still howling relentlessly...