The Australian Weather Forum

Moderate to major flooding for the Goulburn-Broken basin possible according to the flood watch. BOM never does that, the normally only say "Minor to Moderate with more serious flooding if the rainfall is on the higher end of the scale" or something to that effect. Looks like they are going all in at this stage.

Anthony, do you think the other models still have room for further upgrading of totals in the next 24 hours?

On a side note, Cu is becoming much more susbtantial in size and number over the last 15-20 minutes.

No large hailstones added??? Yesterday it was!

They will add that later Supercell. Not sure why they have not this morning though.

Very warm and humid here. 25/17.

Scott Williams from the BOM just said on ABC that during Wed spot averages for the nth central areas will be 60-70mm with falls focusing on nth-slopes and possible local falls 100mm+ if storms are thrown in the mix. He said the Loddon and Goulburn river system could have major problems.Flood watches have 100mm falls for the Loddon, Avoca and Campaspe catchments and higher on the Goulburn.

Rhino.

Asked Mum (Horsham) to take a pic if she see's anything.
could hear rumbles and ground was wet.

Horsham about to get smashed HUGE storms forming in NW Vic and moving South watch out if under them will dump 50mm easy and lightening looks to be very intense with them as well

Storms starting to fire right across NW Vic and SW NSW

There will be major flooding i checked out all those rivers yesterday and they are running VERY High and this coming system has almost record moisture with it so rain will come down in buckets 100mm falls will be easy to come by

VERY active 72 hours ahead

OMG at those Storms at Horsham

I think that you will get that today.

Things are on the move now and developing nicely over the state. Should see the first cluster of storms flatten into thundery and further showers and thunderstorms moving into the N Central and C areas over the coming 3 hours.

Cloud cover starting to thicken up a bit here, which has taken the bite out of the temps a tiny bit. DP's dropped off a bit too. North/ north west starting to look increasingly interesting. next 3 hours are going to be very interesting to watch.

Lots of Thunder Lots of rain & dark as night here in Horsham
Shell wants me to take a pic well I am not going out its just all over cast I cant see any black skies Tanks are over flowing

Thanks for painting us in under the yellow area PowerStorm! Hope we can pay you back with a rumble or two later.

[edit] - but the storms I mentioned have remained stationary, albiet with another fired up N of Licola.

Longerenong 26mm in an hour (could've been in less time) from that cell.

Looking at obs they had 5mm in 5 minutes from 1:30 to 1:35, then another 17.2mm in 25 minutes.

is that just interference on the WZ radar near Maryborough, or is there actually stuff falling there?

G'day

Horsham to donald looks like fun

Really want to see something round here 2day. Lots of towers going up from my nthwest to ntheast

Longerenong 26mm in an hour, send that across to eildon

Cheers

G'day

The weatherzone lightning tracker just lights up in the last 10mins, very interesting.

Cheers

Yeah Petros, I hope something can eventuate your way. Activity is very slow going there unlike in the west of the state. So you need something to form near you.

Otherwise, I suspect the activity currently stretching from Horsham to the northeast, will start to move more south rather than southeast over the next few hours, similar to what the activity is doing east o Swan Hill currently.

I hope something can make it down this way. Looks interesting outside to my north/northwest.

OMG The convection to my N, NE, E, SE, is exploding like i have only seen in the USA before there will be huge storms today and even bigger ones expected tomorrow this system is going to Flood so many and will round out the wettest 2 months in history for many folk

Watch Mildura radar closely firing all over the shop atm big stuff firing in S, SW NSW looking unreal.

HUGE few days massive falls expected

31/18 with light NE wind dont get much more unstable than that

Longerenong in the Wimmera has had 26mm in the past 30 minutes, more than enough to create flash flooding. (Just out of Horsham)
Stopped raining here for a while

OMG Dean thats awesome, they must be almost motherships.

Still meandering along here, i think tonight it will erupt and we will get our turn, and could possibly be an all nighter.

The following Flood Watches have been issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.

* Flood Watch for West and South Gippsland,
* Flood Watch for Greater Melbourne,
* Flood Watch for Barwon, Hovells Creek and Otway Ranges,
* Flood Watch for the Glenelg and Hopkins Basins,
* Flood Watch for North East Victoria,
* Flood Watch for the Goulburn and Broken Basins,
* Flood Watch for the Campaspe, Loddon, Avoca and Wimmera Basins

For up-to-date warnings, please visit http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/warnings/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Good levels of convection kick off to my north west now. Looks like its trying to start over head too. Things could get interesting