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Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 11:11 am
by Wilko
Consistently 80km gusts now

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 11:30 am
by StratoBendigo
JasmineStorm wrote: Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:31 am Big vertical temperature differences between 850 and 500 hPa this afternoon and evening in central areas. Access R showing above 55 this evening on the 12z run. If that verifies, there could be an angry squall line with a good chance of sparks.
Interesting to note that it's 12 months since an epic hailstorm that we copped on the evening of 17th July last year. Gold medal for winter squall line and storm would be the cold front after the record breaking heat of 18th July, 2013....

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 11:45 am
by flyfisher
I really hope this pattern changes before summer. If today was January it would be Code Red for fires. At the very least lets hope the SAM contracts and put's us in the NE wind flow.

Winds are strong and look stronger to the west - watching for the squall line which could be nasty. Current winds would be pushing water out of the bay at the heads.

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 11:58 am
by StratoBendigo
flyfisher wrote: Tue Jul 17, 2018 11:45 am I really hope this pattern changes before summer. If today was January it would be Code Red for fires. At the very least lets hope the SAM contracts and put's us in the NE wind flow.

Winds are strong and look stronger to the west - watching for the squall line which could be nasty. Current winds would be pushing water out of the bay at the heads.
AAO is heading back into -ve territory - i.e. Strong westerlies but potentially more rain for much of Vic.

But yes, a bit of a hairdryer out there today...

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 12:55 pm
by Skywalker
JasmineStorm wrote: Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:31 am Big vertical temperature differences between 850 and 500 hPa this afternoon and evening in central areas. Access R showing above 55 this evening on the 12z run. If that verifies, there could be an angry squall line with a good chance of sparks.
I'm heading up to Kilmore straight after work, could be quite an interesting drive up. :sccary:

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 1:20 pm
by StratoBendigo
Very warm for July now. We've gone from -1c at 8am to 16c at 1pm. Very Spring-like.

Front has gone through Horsham and has dropped the temp from 16c to 10c. Very Spring-like.

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 1:56 pm
by Gordon
Bloody freezing here (again!) though mainly due to the wind and rain, which is quite heavy at times. I briefly saw double figure temps, but back to 9C now.

At least the wind has eased a little with the rain - lost a couple of big limbs in the gusts earlier and I'm not game to check out the far end of the property just yet...

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:35 pm
by Australis(Shell3155)
stinking hot here with 16.6 and very sunny..
blow a dog off the chain..

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:38 pm
by Andy
Few incoming lightning strikes by the look of it here. Got to 19 today and yes windy as!! My dog is hiding in kennel and has not moved for some time.
Sky now black black black!

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:39 pm
by Gordon
Just had lightning and a big rolling boom!

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:40 pm
by JasmineStorm
It's all coming together nicely ;)

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:43 pm
by Gordon
Now torrential rain and scary wind - stay safe everyone, this has suddenly turned nasty.

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:45 pm
by Australis(Shell3155)
Going to be a nice trip to Rod Laver..
least we know what's coming..

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:46 pm
by Andy
Frequent lightning and thunder now - pouring.

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:47 pm
by Gordon
STW issued for much of Central, on top of the existing Severe Weather Warning.

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:48 pm
by stevco123
Looks nice from a distance here. High top icy clouds suggests it could be quite nasty soon :D

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:52 pm
by Andy
I'm not one for over doing it but its absolutely horrendous here now. Worst conditions I have seen in years. Will be widespread problems as a result of this

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 3:24 pm
by Dane
Squall line about to come through the Metro area.

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 3:26 pm
by Gordon
Agreed Andy, always hard to be objective when the storm is on top of you, but now that it's passed here, I'd still rate that as the worst wind we've had for ages. Can't believe we haven't suffered more damage and still have power! (5mm of rain in short time too.)

Edit: Ballarat had several 100km/h gusts and we're 170m higher.

Re: VICTORIA - Sequence of fronts: July 16-24 2018

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 3:30 pm
by stevco123
Oh wow!!!! A dark steel gray blanket incoming. Haven't seen that in a while... and that wind!!