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Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 3:57 pm
by nafets
Does anyone think it will rain anything in Melbourne?

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 4:01 pm
by James
i doubt anything much, will have to go and water the garden shortly..

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 4:07 pm
by Lily
Phooey! That sun's warm when it's out! Clearing up here.

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 4:08 pm
by BigBen
Frogs, Fish?

We'll get some of the wet stuff, just a matter of when.

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 4:30 pm
by Jake Smethurst
Just seeing that band of showers move over us here now, but main thunderstorm activity within it looks to be near Halls Gap and out to sea.

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 4:38 pm
by Rhino
Does'nt look like it on radar but solid rain here at the moment and seems to be developing around west central areas by the looks.

Rhino :) :)

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 4:44 pm
by BigBen
Nice rhino, hope it builds and comes south a bit.

How's Cairn Curran looking these days? Is it still 90+% full?

I often had to go to Maryborough and it always made me very depressed seeing it virtually empty.

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 4:51 pm
by Anthony Violi
Will definitely rain and be a re run of last week, will develop and be mostly night time and tomorrow morning. Trough still lingering over Adelaide through Portland and hasnt moved at all. Still warm with 18degree Dps through the west of the state, even Adelaide in a NW still showing 18s as well which is very humid behind the trough.

So expect a wet night, the heaviest areas, wherever they develop, will easily get 30-50mm.

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 4:51 pm
by Rhino
Yeah ben it's still full as, great driving over it on the way to castlemaine now and see a big body of water and not getting depressed by it.

Rhino. :) :)

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 5:01 pm
by I_Love_Storms
Up in the air as to what it will do but bom saying possible thunderstorms so I'm guessing they may be thinking areas of convection may pop up ahead of main band near Ararat? If it takes a more westerly easterly direction that will help our chances a lot. Feel a bit unsure but based on what we've seen lately I expect a storm at some stage btw midnight and 6am, so pretty much agree with Anthony could easily be similar to last week

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 5:10 pm
by Jake Smethurst
Got thunder with the approaching band now.

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 5:11 pm
by Anthony Violi
That area of rain around Halls Gap is very heavy, Mt William on 64mm since 9 am as its very slow moving, and thats going to be the biggest feature of the next 12 hours...

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 5:47 pm
by johnno
30mm in 30 mins in Stawell past half hour

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:04 pm
by typhoon29
the sky here is very overcast and gloomy you would think it is a winters day. Looking at the radar that nasty cell near Ararat looks to be tracking straight for us! It'll die........shields are up.

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:16 pm
by johnno
45mm in Stawell the past hour!

By the way the temps seem a little high for me on Tuesday and Wednesday and mabye even Thursday.. Can't see it getting to 23c Tuesday and definetly can't see 27c on Wednesday in Melbourne

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:22 pm
by Timster
typhoon29 » Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:04 pm wrote:
typhoon29 wrote: It'll die........shields are up.
I think you're right, looks to be breaking up on the latest radar image. :(

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:25 pm
by nafets
Hope it makes its way to Melbourne :)

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:36 pm
by nafets
Channel 9 weather said Stawell is being evacuated due to flooding :O

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:41 pm
by TheFishmanAU
typhoon29 » Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:04 pm wrote:
typhoon29 wrote:the sky here is very overcast and gloomy you would think it is a winters day. Looking at the radar that nasty cell near Ararat looks to be tracking straight for us! It'll die........shields are up.
It has more a winter's colour than Summer glow. :P It is more a sponge than a shield. It get to s certain point and is absorbed!

Re: Victoria: Rain event - 16th-20th Dec 2011

Posted: Sun Dec 18, 2011 6:43 pm
by Supercellimpact
Wow Stawell got smashed alright !! 35mm in the last hour alone, and 65mm since 9am.

Storms Developing on the trough line now right up into NSW.