Gee, I wish the southerly would wash out here. I'm right on the boundary of where this activity is likely to develop. Anywhere south of here is as stable as you like.
Heavy rain and hail to 2cm possible with these storms today in central areas (just guessing, not an expert's opinion). They are pulse storms and not likely to be particularly severe but the moisture profile and slow moving nature of the storms means that the impact from some of these storms still could be rather severe in terms of flash flooding. I expect storms to cling to the ranges and not effect areas south of the ranges.
Western VIC of course will be very interesting to watch today.
Last edited by droughtbreaker on Sun Dec 05, 2010 12:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
To the area northwest of Macedon, thunderstorms in the region are likely to produce large hailstones and flash flooding during the next 30 minutes. Cells are generally remaining stationary.
Jake - Senior AWF Forecaster
Feel free to send me a private message if you have any questions.
John you're being very rough on Karl. If he's referring to the structure, it's enormous, and indeed does look like a mothership.
I'm going to Mt Cooper to take a look.
I've got two distinct anvils in the sky atm. One from the 'mothership' , the other one to the south of the main cell. The entire northern half of the sky is covered by the anvil from the line of storms to the west.
If I was around Castlemaine I would make sure the gutters were clean and the washings in, with the amount of development on the western side of that cluster of storms somethings gotta give soon.
John, get over yourself with your political weather correctness, it is getting tiresome and old. Oh and BTW any major thesis on this issue can be forwarded to the moderator team as it does not belong here, this is an observational thread, not a thread to be a wet blanket.
Looking amazing for Jane and Clyve who are probably underneath the cell. Huge convection further west and south. Pity I will be in rehearsals all day.
Well I think hail would be a serious risk at elevation. What a brilliant day. So glad those who have left the state have made it possible for these storms to develop.
Encouraging signs for the next few days and the sounding forecasts are looking impressive for the NW and W Monday and Tuesday.
Im really surprised things have formed so far east, and no, i'm definitely not sooking because we are not getting them here. They really are awesome to watch, so much happens so quickly and there is more and more convection developing on the north-western side of it all.
Ok, I'll take atomic over mothership.
On Mt Cooper now. The area of interest is in the SW. Clean, crisp towers going up west of an enormous anvil.
Inbetween Ballarat & Mt Mercer.
Is that the cell we can see on radar SW of Ballarat currently Ryan? The two anvils were clear as day on our drive back from Narre Warren just now - absolutely mammoth!