The Australian Weather Forum

Tell you what, been washing the car and NE looks spanking! Nice towers so shoudl be rippers over that way

That kerang cell is going straight at swan hill.

Showers and storms starting up just to our west here at Horsham, extremely slow moving expect localised flash flooding and hail a chance. Only small cells at this stage and anvils heading in different directions.

Dark core just appeared in the cell West of Kilmore.

Cells apear to be moving to the NE which gives southern Melbourne suburbs little chance.

Radar seems to be overstating rainfall, seems to be some virga with these storms, could let go but mmm not sure!!

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria Regional Office

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DAMAGING WIND, FLASH FLOODING and LARGE HAILSTONES
For people in the East Gippsland, Northern Country, North Central and parts of the Central, Mallee, South West, North East, West and South Gippsland and Wimmera s.

Issued at 2:47 pm Saturday, 4 December 2010.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Horsham, Stawell, Hamilton, Ballarat, Bendigo, Echuca, Seymour, Maryborough, Castlemaine, Kyneton, Bacchus Marsh and Orbost.

27.2/17 The Broadford cell is very disorganised by the looks if it from here

Some majestic cells starting to develop overhead. The south is mostly clear but right across the north is really firing up. There will be torrential rain from these cells when they develop and any sea breeze interaction, if it occurs, should produce some rippers.

A few towers starting up just to the southwest of here now but, as yet, nowhere near as explosive as the development that is happening to the north. Cells (when they develop) are steering ENE locally.

That Kerang cell went the wrong way! Will have to keep an eye on the stuff out west for now.

Cell heading towards Broadford looks alright.

Radar echos would suggest large hail in that cell near Kilmore. Still waiting here in Horsham lots of virga rain only the yellow on radar is hitting the ground here.

Can see rain falling on a cell somewhere, probably Kilmore cell, but looks the wrong direction. More towers are popping up through the rain way out to the SW or WSW

Suddenly the cloud tops of the cell are very organised, looks great. It is actually in the S from here. It has a pileus on it now

hmm.... now should I go out this arvo...

and more importantly where should I go... looking for a lookout closeish to the city ( say 50km east/south of the city )

It's going to be north now, for this afternoon anyway. Southerlies have taken over down here. Still a chance for tonight.

Cnr Southroad, heading onto East Boundry Road

Those cells out west look like their going to collide. Got my name written all over them if they can hold together for a little bit longer.

I'm on the Kilmore cell. Was looking very impressive with stong updraft with some corkscrew, healthy anvil and inflow. As I was driving north on the hume it formed a solid RFB and made an attempt at lowering the base further and the early stages of a wallcloud with horizontal inflow funnel into the western side of the base. It has since lost its punch but I will keep an eye on it in case it cycles again.

Meso wrote:Those cells out west look like their going to collide. Got my name written all over them if they can hold together for a little bit longer.

hehe I looked real close on radar but I couldnt see Meso written on them anywhere......