Plenty going on in the last model runs….. I have about 15 internet explorer tabs opened to try and keep up
Here is what I see that hasn’t already been covered this morning
Friday morning:
- Access R latest run at 8am AEST has upgraded to 20 to 30mm across a wide area of Vic. 60mm + in spots
- Atmospheric river at 10am AEST today has between 40 to 60mm precip water over S.A
- GFS upgraded to 10 to 25mm over a wide area of Vic on latest run.
Mad Monday:
- GFS just modelled high 30’s around Melbourne, low to mid 40’s in the Mallee. Strong NWesterly.
- Then a tropical water canon arrives from the north west. Insane Precip water levels around 50 to 70mm on GFS, CMC & CFS…. if all the triggers are there, late Monday will be a barrage of water bombs, CG’s, anvil crawlers and maybe an occasional F1 tornado in central and northern Vic. At the moment, it’s getting closer to lining up
http://stormcast.com.au/stormcast.html? ... :null:0#sc
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php ... r=au&dpdt=
Other notable mentions past this thread in OZ that could influence Vic: Monsoonal lows, possible cyclones, a Landphoon, heat lows. There are so many variables , anything could happen from Jan 25th to Feb 4th.