A sunny but an unsummer like 19c here today. Looks grey south of the divide. Nice little upper trough for Tassie yesterday indeed.
Here’s what I can currently see on the latest models – The monsoon low in the N.T is off and running with some big rain totals around Darwin. It’s modelled by all models to track a similar path to the last landphoon at Christmas…..but let’s wait and see on that topic as those beasts have a mind of their own. If it’s moves slightly west, it’s a totally different cyclonic ball game. The easterly dip still looks likely on Thursday for some bubbling clouds / showers. In a nutshell, ATM it seems like 30+ for most of Vic from Wednesday to Sunday with a dry-ish front around Sunday lunchtime in central parts. Monsoon low is still an unknown x factor though.
Other notable longer term off topic mentions –
1. Volatile southern front Jan 15th meets tropical moisture over Vic.
2. CFS has modelled a heatwave for the 1st week of the Oz tennis open. You can also see this appearing on GFS with a monster high coming in.
3. CFS model still thinks a long fire season with less rain.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 0&ypos=432
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 0&ypos=475
4. SE OZ water temps are nice and warm ATM.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... _aus_1.png