Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016

[hillybilly]

Just had a shower of big drops. Almost nothing above

Storms starting to fire west of Cape Otway near the wind change. Temps of around 30C are high enough to trigger surface based convection.

[hillybilly]

Severe weather warning out for heavy rain. Falls to 100mm

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDV20032.html

[StratoBendigo]

Completely overcast here. Just a light shower of rain so far. 27c.

It'll need to clear to have any chance of those -7 LIs.

As for BOM warnings, most people think that they're crying "wolf". But I must admit that today could throw up some surprises.

[nafets]

I'm in the otways, CG lightening already! Nice wall cloud forming before me!!

[Harley34]

Morning everyone and here it is, the anticipated 29th of December, 2016. The date most of us on this forum have been interested in throughout the past week and today is looking great!

I know severe storms are likely in Central areas, but what is the chance of a supercell in Melbourne?

[Skywalker]

Good morning all

A sunny humid 27 degrees down here on the island. Hopefully the sun stays out a bit longer to increase our storm chances down here later today.

Can see development already taking place on the radar so it's going to go off by the looks of it. Have a prime viewing position down here, so have the camera phone ready, laptop & iPad charged up, and car ready if needed.

[I_Love_Storms]

I'm in the otways, CG lightening already! Nice wall cloud forming before me!!

You little ripper! Id say chances of supercell sun vic are quite high today

[Skywalker]

My other half is currently back in Deer Park looking after her parents. She might have her hands full with today's potential events as she will have two houses to look after, including the world's wimpiest Jack Russell.

[StratoBendigo]

Sun's out now that first line of showers has moved through.

[I_Love_Storms]

Gfs has a lot less than ec and bom are forecasting. 25mmax really across the state, less in East centeal. Can't see them being right

[Wilko]

My other half is currently back in Deer Park looking after her parents. She might have her hands full with today's potential events as she will have two houses to look after, including the world's wimpiest Jack Russell.

No way I have the wimpiest Jack Russell ha ha
31c and climbing
Great we have the heat

[StratoBendigo]

With a DP of 23c, it feels like Cairns right now. Still not really clearing yet.

[Sugarlata]

Hi All,

Haven't been on here for a while. Last major post was after my chase on Christmas day 2011. What a great day that was, I'm sure there are some here hoping for a similar display.
I'm out chasing north central Vic today, along with a few other chasers I know of. Curious if anyone else from this forum is heading out that way. Getting close to Bendigo currently and the clouds are starting to thin out, hopefully get some good heating in the coming hours.

Nate

[mick]

Some impressive bubbling visible from here over geelong way.

[Didjman]

Hearing odd rumble from that Broadford cell. Have to go to work in a minute
Peter

[Skywalker]

29 degrees here with 65% humidity. Things have to go bang this afternoon surely with these conditions.

About to take another stroll towards the beach with the young fella. It's filthy inside the house with only evaporative cooling & no air conditioning.

Edit: first shower for the day just started here.

[tonycynic]

Well the new BOM severe weather warning seems to have wound it back a bit, no more strong winds and 100mm rainfalls. still hot and humid here, 30 with a DP of 27.5 and AP of 36. Good day to do the gutters and move firewood.

[stevco123]

Probably just a band of rain with 10-15mm about 5pm reckon.

[StratoBendigo]

I can smell a fizzer to be honest. Reckon it'll all be to our Northeast or South. As usual.

[Harley34]

I can smell a fizzer to be honest. Reckon it'll all be to our Northeast or South. As usual.

Be patient and don't judge by the current radar because it will get better...