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Vic: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January 2016

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Skywalker
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by Skywalker »

Looks like my Burnside Heights home is going to get slammed tonight going by the radar. That Kinglake cell looks to be right in it's path the further west it travels.

Rain has settled in nicely here in Cowes.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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stevco123
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by stevco123 »

On observation it looks to be easing in the far south east and gaining intensity towards the west north west.

Just like forecast...

Wish we got more here
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Sean
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by Sean »

Fairly light stuff at the moment, not confident on anything more than 20mm around the Frankston area.
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by chillout »

absolutely going off here in Pascoe Vale- have missed a lot the last few days, time to cash in now!
Looking for the essendon airport obs to refresh. 6.6 in 10 mins and that was before it had really kicked in.
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by stevco123 »

Currently in Reservoir and OH MY GOD! Anyone remember february 2011?
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by chillout »

stevco123 » Sat Jan 30, 2016 11:40 pm wrote:
stevco123 wrote:Currently in Reservoir and OH MY GOD! Anyone remember february 2011?
Yup. Looking at radar and can't see how won't get 50+ by dawn tomorrow....

Intense. Copping lightshow/thunder left right and centre here
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BigBen
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by BigBen »

doublepost
Last edited by BigBen on Sun Jan 31, 2016 12:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by BigBen »

Going nuts here, just had a very quick power outage here, the lightning has a real kick to it :-)

Power almost went again, had to reset my router.

Power went off after a huge flang, must have hit a power pole nearby. I was deaf for a second!
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by BigBen »

Just noticed that at 11.39 the BOM cancelled the severe storm warning, REALLY, wow that was a poor call as the cell that hit here was intense, massive rain, vicious lightning and well deserving of a warning. It's still very strong on the radar and it's Little River and Lara's turn now and after what they copped the other day......
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Sean
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by Sean »

Sean » Sat Jan 30, 2016 11:27 pm wrote:
Sean wrote:Fairly light stuff at the moment, not confident on anything more than 20mm around the Frankston area.
Scratch that, petering out already. Doubt we'll even reach 20mm.

This is why we don't get excited, Sean.

Edit: The rainfall rate around Tidal River must be pretty intense. It's shooting up by 10mm every frame according to weatherzone
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nafets
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by nafets »

Impressive rain rates around the state. Bundoora up to 39mm and 27mm at Essendon! So jealous I'm missing this... Yeah Sean, Wilsons prom has had 95mm since 9am and still rising fast. Average of about 30mm-40mm per hour.
Go the bombersss!
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Lara_Hunter
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by Lara_Hunter »

Our turn, watched the Lightning show with the new pup I picked up yesterday.. Heavy rain, not much in terms of wind. Hope we get another 10mm tonight
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by WeatherViewer »

Well that was pretty intense.
17.5mm here according to the rain gauge.
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BigBen
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by BigBen »

Will be interesting to see in the morning where the rain that's looping over the bay goes.

Apollo Bay is in the firing line and it could really drop some big totals.
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wobbie
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by wobbie »

Had a very quick 10mm that caused street flooding

Lots going to waste in Bass Strait overnight
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by Macedonian »

Good lord! All of this happening and I have only managed 0.6mm. :x
This whole week has been totally dissapointing at my place :(
We have only managed to wring about 8mm out of the last few days. I'm not going to even come close to half my January average :|
Great to see big totals elsewhere though.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Supercellimpact
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by Supercellimpact »

It's been nice steady rain for about an hour or 2. Nice to hear the raining falling again.
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by hillybilly »

Geez this system is a tease. Crazy rainfall gradients yet again. Fortunatley we've had about 8 parts to it.

Just 7mm here but nearly 20mm a few km east and west of us. We managed to missed every cell so just dribbles.

Still MTD will finish near 120mm which is close to double the average. Thinking we'll be fine today here - could pick up a flukey convective shower but doubt it, and need to wait to pick up drizzle stuff tomorrow. Real focus today in west central north, probably peaking somewhere between Macedon and Ballarat. Hoping this fills in the rain holes at Bendigo, Ballarat and Macedon today ;) - but a couple of km's could make a big difference :? :?

The gradient around the state overnight are crazy. 30mm in the You Yangs but 3mm in Geelong (on Wednesday it was ~50mm Geelong and 10mm You Yangs). 50mm near Epping, but 1mm in spots to the northwest. 120mm at Wilson Prom (there wettest summer day on record and just 3mm short of the whole year record - can they squeeze out a shower???) and just 25mm at Yanakie to the north.
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by Hawker »

OK, I have my words on a plate and will eat for breakfast.
There has been steady to moderate rain since about 2.45 and it looks like continuing for a while.
Estimate 15 maybe to 20mls, I will have a look at the gauge a bit later.
It will certainly reinforce the bits we had previously and keep
it looking green for a while.
The wind has gone around to the north, that helps to bring a better rain.
Chris
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Re: Trough then cut-off low: Last week of January

Post by Gordon »

Steady, quite heavy rain has set in here - looks like several mm in the gauge so far.

Struggling tell if it will last for hours or minutes; can't make a lot of sense of the radar loop (is that a mini low right over Ballarat?) Anyway, so far, so good.
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