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Vic: Unstable, cold air, possible storms - October 12 onward

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Jake Smethurst
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Jake Smethurst »

Also wishing the progs are wrong! I don't think there is no chance, but the chance is very very small. Definitely should see a couple of showers though ... but if moisture isn't too much of a problem, should see some nasty storms to the northeast of us and in NSW today.
Jake - Senior AWF Forecaster
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Nick Sykes
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Nick Sykes »

NE Vic looks great today, convection on ranges already. Melbourne not so great, but on a side note, may see 30C in Melbourne today, 29 in northern burbs already.
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by HarleyB »

The Yarrawonga radar is lighting up like a christmas tree! The airport has passed 30ºC now and the wind is starting to blow
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Nick Sykes
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Nick Sykes »

Just hit 30 in the city, decent northerly blowing here in Box Hill.

Going off in the NE and Southern NSW
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Geoff »

Some amazing temperature differences around the state today, ranging from low 30's inland and northern regions, to mid to high teens at most places near the coast. Most of the Wimmera and S/W seem to be very cool right now.
Huge area of storms brewing over N/E regions at the same time.
25.8c here at 2.30pm and quite breezy.
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Nick Sykes
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Nick Sykes »

Certainly a weird day temp wise through the suburbs, just gone over 30 Avalon, east side of bay below 21 :-), gotta love the wnw wind.
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by stevco123 »

Nick Sykes » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:59 pm wrote:
Nick Sykes wrote:Just hit 30 in the city, decent northerly blowing here in Box Hill.

Going off in the NE and Southern NSW
Olympic Park showing 26.9 as Max. probably more believable than the 30 at the old city site.
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by WeatherViewer »

Very interesting out here in the outer south western suburbs. Werribee sitting around 26c in a SSE Wind, and about 8km inland here in Wyndham Vale is 33c in a WNW. Major difference, amazing really. Great example of Suburbs next door, two extremly different conditions dictated by the winds..
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Geoff »

Blimey! Just took the bins out and was shocked how cold it has got since an hour ago, from 25c down to 15c! No visual change at all, still clear and sunny.
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Rivergirl
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Rivergirl »

I loved the weather on the weekend and now its back to like when I left at the beginning of September. The US threw everything at me in terms of weather when I was there. It was exciting and got some great photos
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Macedonian »

Back to winter here, heavy sleet/sago showers coming in waves and currently 4C
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Onetahuti »

Macedonian » Mon Oct 13, 2014 3:18 pm wrote:
Macedonian wrote:Back to winter here, heavy sleet/sago showers coming in waves and currently 4C
Topped out @ 17°C here so quite mild, showers just starting again after 2mm overnight. Have been able to be out in the veg garden most of the afternoon.
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Macedonian »

Down to 3C now and blowing a gale
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Thunderclap »

Down to 7C waves of heavy rain and pea sized hail here. Next band about to hit from the south
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Macedonian »

Yikes, crazy intense squalls with proper snow flurries. Down to 1.5C now.
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Gordon »

Wet snow here half an hour ago at 3.5 C Macedonian so thought you might get the real deal! Also hail and sleet.

Has to be the greatest contrast in 24 hrs I've seen for a while - 4 pm yesterday 23 C, 4 pm today 3.5 C!

(PS 8.5 mm so far.)
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by droughtbreaker »

I had 28C max yesterday which to me seemed ridiculously high as Ballarat and Kilmore were only 25C/26C but it certainly did feel warm.

Right now it is 6.6C (although was down closer to 5 a moment ago with a lengthy shower). Another large 'blob' of rain approaching. The coldest air is due to come through tonight so with a straight southerly stream expected it could get interesting around the top of Mount Macedon by morning. Shower streams usually intensify at night whilst the bay is still relatively cool so it will be interesting to see what eventuates.
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Macedonian »

It was trying to Gordon. Back to rain now. We so need some good spring rain.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by stevco123 »

Looks like a band coming from the south east. This usually delivers for me but also has strong winds.
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Wilko
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Re: Unstable, warm, possible storms - October 12 onwards

Post by Wilko »

Yes looking at the band of rain coming from the Southeast it's quite unusual as it usually dissipates from that direction
by the time it reaches me
However this seems to be intensifying
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