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Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

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Nick Sykes
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Nick Sykes »

It is a conservative forecast, though this is generally the case with these types of events. Noticed the temp at Ferny Creek is already down to 4.7C (BOM going for low of 3C at Ferny Creek tonight) and Aireys Inlet an amazing 6.2C at 4pm!!! impressive for sea level with the coldest air still a long way off. Mt William is only down to -0.2 so far (not that cold) so certainly looks like the rain is dragging cold air to the surface.

Tomorrow evening/night looks the best time for low level snow with some very cold air due following a secondary front.

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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Gordon »

Just started snowing here now.
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Nick Sykes »

Very impressive Gordon, wasn't expecting the snow level to get so low this early. Keep the reports coming.
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by stevco123 »

Nick Sykes » Thu Jul 31, 2014 4:40 pm wrote:
Nick Sykes wrote:It is a conservative forecast, though this is generally the case with these types of events. Noticed the temp at Ferny Creek is already down to 4.7C (BOM going for low of 3C at Ferny Creek tonight) and Aireys Inlet an amazing 6.2C at 4pm!!! impressive for sea level with the coldest air still a long way off. Mt William is only down to -0.2 so far (not that cold) so certainly looks like the rain is dragging cold air to the surface.

Tomorrow evening/night looks the best time for low level snow with some very cold air due following a secondary front.

Nick

On the contrary, Mildura is sitting at 22 degrees at the moment :D , but reports of snow on the western highway near Ballarat at the Creswick exit as reported on radio

A state of two tales
Last edited by stevco123 on Thu Jul 31, 2014 4:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Nick Sykes »

Yep an amazing temp contrast across the state at the moment, today's 19.9 in Melb is way above average. Reports of snow on 3AW at the Creswick exit on the way to Ballarat.
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Nick Sykes »

Reports of snow in the Otways from ABC Melbourne.
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Gordon »

Nick Sykes » Thu Jul 31, 2014 4:44 pm wrote:
Nick Sykes wrote:Very impressive Gordon, wasn't expecting the snow level to get so low this early. Keep the reports coming.
Back and forth from snow to sleety rain Nick but amazing given it was 11 C just 2 hours ago. Hovering between 2.5 & 3.5 C atm; heavier snow seems to depress the temp as you'd expect. We've also had 10 mm of precipitation over the same period, so a decent drop already.
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Macedonian »

Down from 9c to 2C now and just starting to snow
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by BringOnTheCoolChange »

Still nothing on this side of Ferny Creek, i live on the lower end near Tremont, about 430m above sea level, anyone got snow in the Dandenongs yet?
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Macedonian »

Down to 0.8c and still snowing. Impressive temp and the real cold isn't here yet.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Thunderclap »

5.2 and raining here, nothing out of the ordinary yet
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Macedonian »

Wow! Chucking it down now and settling nicely
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Rivergirl »

Watching all this with interest from Noosa where it's been a sunny 26. They are worried about getting the tail end of this. Great u are getting some snow Gordon and Macedonian. Hope to hear the same from hillybilly and Geoff in the morning
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Rivergirl »

Yes welcome to BringOnTheCoolChange. I'm from Ferny Creek too :)
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Macedonian »

Minus 0.3 and still day light
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Geoff »

KABOOM!!!! Thunder hail, graupel, sleet, rain, gales, apart from that not much happening out there this evening! :P
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by BringOnTheCoolChange »

3.3c now in Ferny Creek and thanks for welcome, there was a little bit of sleet earlier around 4:40ish pm. :D

Edit* They just said on the news some places as low as 300m may see snow flurries tomorrow
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Gordon »

Here the temp. has climbed back up a little to 3.8 C and the snow has been replaced by mostly rain for now. Surprised how persistent the rainband is.

If you're getting this as snow Macedonian it really should start to add up!
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Macedonian »

Temp is back up to 0.7, still snowing nicely but the warm day had ruined the settling.
Incredible how the wind just stopped here once the colder air came through.
It's dead calm and the snow is drifting more or less straight down. It's lovely.
A Facebook friend reports snow at Tylden
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Re: Vic Cold Outbreak July 31 to August 2

Post by Geoff »

Temperature has risen slightly here from 3.6c to 3.9c, can't really call it warm air in the mix at these temperatures, but could be due to the less heavy rain now is not dragging the coldest air down from the uppers. Still raining moderately out there, too dark to see, but it sounds like only rain now.
Wind seems to have eased a lot now too.
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