Those Low Pressure Systems usually deliver down there Proteous, especially since it has originated from a Monsoon Trough. It is certainly plausible that you could get 100mm+, just a matter of wait and see. Good to see you would be happy with 10mm though then all the rest will be a bonusProteous wrote:I would love to see just half of the progged rainfall for this area, however I believe like most of the expected falls of the past this will be little different and so if we get maybe 10 mm I will be quite happy. There have been too many hyped up prognostications which have almost always ended with little of what was anticipated. However I remain ever optimistic.
Interesting you say that Sniper, I'm not sure myself, however if you look at the radar there is precipitation showing up in sea south of the bay. Good signs to have that moisture there, means something has or may happen in terms of lows forming. Storms in E SA at the moment as wellSniper wrote:DJ, on the SatPic loop, can you see a low developing (circulating) in the last frame well to the west of Melbourne, around Cape Otway.
Not sure if your talking about your area there DJ or Melbourne?? Cos in Melbourne November was 40mm above average 100mm fell compare to the average of 59mm, December was close to average 55mm Melbourne compare to 58mm the average, January 22mm compare to 49mm average and so far February Melbourne has had 58mm compare to the normal average of 48mm so overall the past 4 months has been slightly above average interms of rainfall for Melbourne by 20mmhillybilly wrote: BTW RE the fire season, we've really been lucky this year on the timing of rain - no long dry spells with regular falls for most areas every 2 weeks or so. It hasn't been a wet "summer" for Vic - Nov was above by near 20mm but Dec/Jan have both been below by about 10mm and Feb could be above or below depending on the rest of the month. I suspect that the season has been pretty close to the historical average, but seems really mild because 2002/2006/2008 and 2009 are 4 of the worst fire seasons on record if you sum the fire weather index. The garden up here looks a treat - lush and green - and hasn't really dried out at any time, but the spring fed creek is still just a trickle.
Thats great Alexia! how much have you had the past 3 days Alexia?Alexia wrote:My daughter in Beechworth had 52mm last night