Karl Lijnders wrote:
Good area of convection taking place of C VIC presently and huge storms over the NE will broaden into rain. They are moving SW and will merge with the thundery rain band over the west at the moment which is also increasing in intensity.
Should see 50mm falls widespread through C areas still.
Definitely Karl, the convection is developing, it will explode at any time now and the longer it takes the better really. Yarrawonga radar shows numerous intense cells. BOM won't forecast heavy rain for nothing. I will go 60mm for CBD, 100mm for your house, and 75mm for Lilydale
We will see.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DAMAGING WIND, FLASH FLOODING and LARGE HAILSTONES
For people in the Northeast, Alpine and parts of the Northern Country, East Gippsland and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts.
Issued at 6:01 pm Thursday, 4 February 2010.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce very heavy rainfall, flash flooding, damaging winds and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Shepparton, Wodonga, Wangaratta, Corryong, Bright and Falls Creek.
The most active area of thunderstorms has now moved to be near and north of Wangaratta and they have been propagating in a south to southwesterly direction. As a result the threat area has been extended further to the southwest. Heavy rainfall and localised flash flooding remains by the far the most likely severe phenomena.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Keep clear of fallen power lines.
* secure any loose objects in the vicinity of your home.
* keep away from creeks and drains.
* do not drive vehicles through flooded areas.
* stay indoors if possible.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* if you are outside, avoid sheltering under trees
* listen to the radio for storm updates
* switch off your computer and electrical appliances
The next warning is due to be issued by 9:05 pm.