Vic - More rain likely March 7th - 10th

Petros · Post by **Petros** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 7:35 am

Started raining late at night and still going strong at Maffra at 6:30 - 26 fantastic mm so far!

firestorm · Post by **firestorm** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 7:46 am

Got a good soaking last night 45.2mm there was no wind and it just sat over us!

HarleyB · Post by **HarleyB** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 7:56 am

A paltry 4mm yesterday, haven't checked overnight's yet. think we're done for this one just about, though I am not fussed because I am accepting that the huge falls are finally winding down.

johnno · Post by **johnno** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 8:28 am

Petros » Thu Mar 10, 2011 7:35 am wrote:
Petros wrote:Started raining late at night and still going strong at Maffra at 6:30 - 26 fantastic mm so far!

Why You say that Harley? Cos you didn't get the 45.2mm?

Nice going Petros looks like the 15-30mm I had for you may even be passed!

18mm here more than half falling in drizzle

johnno · Post by **johnno** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 8:33 am

Good drop for the dams too 40mm to 8am at the Thomson dam

mutley · Post by **mutley** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 8:55 am

johnno » Thu Mar 10, 2011 8:33 am wrote:
johnno wrote:Good drop for the dams too 40mm to 8am at the Thomson dam

Yeah, Thomson finally getting a drink. Gippsland doing OK as well with 25+mm around Taralgon/Morwell areas

10mm here in Berwick

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 9:17 am

14.5 mm here to 9am plus 2 mm previous 24 hrs. Pushes us comfortably past 400 mm ytd.

Petethemoskeet · Post by **Petethemoskeet** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 9:34 am

Surprising 13mm since about 5pm yesterday.

Tassiedave · Post by **Tassiedave** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 9:46 am

The latest ACCESS model seems to indicate a very wet few days from next Wednesday through till Saturday for Victoria and Tasmania

David · Post by **David** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 9:47 am

14.5mm of soaking drizzle/light rain keeping everything lush.

Rivergirl · Post by **Rivergirl** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 10:14 am

20.2mm over the last 24 hours for Ferny Creek

Karl Lijnders · Post by **Karl Lijnders** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 10:38 am

Just shade over 23mm at Knoxfield and 26mm at work!! Mainly from the downpour yesterday and evening. Drizzly rain all night with the occasional heavy burst too assisted, particularly 11pm-1am.

In any case a nice drop and plenty more rain to come in the outlook.

schitzengiggles · Post by **schitzengiggles** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 12:19 pm

Check the gauge again Karlos, you only got 3mm more than Robyn! Perhaps yours has a hole in it?

Karl Lijnders · Post by **Karl Lijnders** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 12:51 pm

Your going to need new material there Ryan. Be nice to see what DJ had but seems to have gone AWOL. Interesting that the Thompson had 40-60mm over it overnight!! Brilliant!

Putting me nearly towards 500mm for the year. Lovely!!

Rivergirl · Post by **Rivergirl** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 2:50 pm

I'm not that far behind you then in Northern Ferny Creek then hillybilly

HarleyB · Post by **HarleyB** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 4:41 pm

Finished on 12.8mm here. Next week is looking very dangerous at this early stage, a lot more twists and turns to come though of course.

Petros · Post by **Petros** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 6:21 pm

Rain continued through to midday here giving us a total of 37.5mm of rain falling at the best possible time - gee we have been lucky out here in Gippsland!

For our local little bubble, GFS, EC and AccessG were failures in the progs leading up to last nights rain, (I acknowledge that AccG did hop onto decent rain in the end, but only last 24 hrs), CMC was closer, but the honours go to AccR which (when the event got within 3 days) steadfastly predicted the rain we actually got.

I have been knocking AccR lately, so will watch its future event progs more closely!

No wind last night or today, 17-21.5C and baro inched up from 1012 to 1014 hPa in last 24 hrs. A very productive event for central Gippsland! Havent looked at latest runs yet but am expecting another 5mm odd during the comming weekend. Happy times out here (although a storm would be nice).

HarleyB · Post by **HarleyB** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 6:41 pm

Just a quick post to let you know that blob on radar in the area east of lake eildon is NOT a radar error, there is a huge storm complex with a quite large anvil coming from it, not sure if anyone else in Melbourne can see it or not, but I can see towers from there all the way to the northern horizon. Also there is currently a line of storms stretching from the area north-east of Lake Eildon to the area north of Echuca, though it is very narrow and scattered

Dane · Post by **Dane** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 6:56 pm

Missed out down here with less than 5mm's. MTD now 10mm's, heading into a dry month here I think.

Petros · Post by **Petros** » Thu Mar 10, 2011 7:21 pm

Dane » Thu Mar 10, 2011 6:56 pm wrote:
Dane wrote:Missed out down here with less than 5mm's. MTD now 10mm's, heading into a dry month here I think.

2/3 of the month to come, a La Nina event strongest in recent history, and into the Autumn break - what do you base this prediction on?

Thick mizzle has set in here, the leaves and eaves dripping solidly - if we pick up another 2mm or so tonight to add to last nights 37.5mm that would be unreal. This is definitely the Autumn break for central Gippy - given the green lead up.

Bit worried that Lake Glenmaggie is so full but (circa 96%).

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Vic - More rain likely March 7th - 10th

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