Victoria - Tropical rain event - February 2nd-8th 2011

[Meso]

Don't stress James, as Karl said earlier - conditions are primed for some good action later this evening and into the night...

Yeah, it's takin a while for some places to see some action, but the instability is there right through to well after dark.

[Meso]

Hmm, to head north, or to head south?

What are u thinking in terms of north? The stuff west of Echuca? It's not lightning active yet, but looks like it could be something other than a heavy shower. I reckon that gap between Birchip and Swan Hill is going to explode soon.

[rikjpool]

Thats my thoughts yeah, its been nothing there all day, so the area should be primed to go off. Thinking i may head north... will see when i can knock off and what its doing...

[Meso]

Terrain is good out that way too. Probly make a move out there myself shortly.

[daviescr]

Hmm, to head north, or to head south?

I say North, without doubt, and Agree with Meso - looks like a good spot

[CAPEcrusader]

aust

Look out for some flash flooding around here. It is still friggen pouring! Pretty constant rolls of thunder although not as loud now.

Edit : Holy crap! BANG Computer is going off for a while.

Hope its not too bad andy



lightning tracker almost showing a 'V' for vic at the moment along the trough from South aust to geelong then off heading for sydney.Central and nth country in the middle for now-looking a bit sparse

[schitzengiggles]

Thanks all for your wonderful input, I was able to sucessfully predict this to the locals a week ago thanks to you guys. They think I am a genius.

I can relate to this, I get phone calls on a Friday night from a couple of guys in the cricket club who are trying to work out how much they're safe to drink. I'll tell fibs about it one day, so I can laugh at the damage the next.

Speaking of Springhurst, how on earth did you miss the squall that tore through there in November? She was a beauty!

[schitzengiggles]

Rikki/Meso, badly effected in floods recently. Go NE, try inbetween Elmore & Cobram.

[Lara_Hunter]

Wish I was at home, just spoke to mum in Bell Park (Geelong), she said Thompsons Rd flooded and unbeliavle rain, she thought a cyclone hit

[Meso]

What was badly effected by floods recently, Ryan?

[WaterBaby]

I'm leaving home now and I'll be driving through the cell west of echuca. Lots of rumbling... can't see any lightning at the moment but it's getting blacker by the minute.
Enjoy!!

[thunderhead]

It should be a good night tonight cos I have to work ;-(( Every other time I've had a shift like this, its gone off - eg NYE 2009/10

[I_Love_Storms]

Starting to go now. IMO 5pm-8pm will be the peak.

[schitzengiggles]

Wycheproof, Boort, Pyramid Hill.. etc.

[Meso]

Wycheproof, Boort, Pyramid Hill.. etc.

Ah, ok. The road is open all the way to Kerang now. I probably won't go that far anyway.

[Andy]

Ok im back, but getting smashed again. More cells developing out west, and again, we are in their direct line.

[Didjman]

low cloud finally breaking up here. Reckon the sky will explode soon. 28.1/23.4 here. 27mm here so far. I cant get out far atm Wifes car is sick, and mine's unregistered. If anyone is heading up this way and wants company, PM me.
Peter

[karenamelia]

Strangest weather stinking hot heavy rain & bright sunshine in the middle of it
Just started to rain here a few mins ago & has now slowed down
Horsham Vic

[nafets]

VERY VERY steamy here, sun just came out and WOW its hot. Record DP here with 25°c and temperature has risen 1° in the last 2 minutes, up to 28.5°c. RH is at 81% with WNW'sterly winds.

[Instability]

Just picked the kids up from school and have to say the tops on that line through Geelong are some of the highest I have ever seen, including Singapore and Darwin. They started high then increased about 20% in height with the overshoot

This correlates with my brother's account from Geelong at 3:20pm that (in his words) a wall of dark grey cloud had lowered under the storm and was approaching Geelong. I have asked him to get photos and send them to me.

Rog.