Victoria: Troughy thundery humid rain event. Jan 9th -14th

[Ausmammal]

I take it the very very light dot of pinkish colour between horsham and Echuca is looking very bad. What kind of total would that be? It looks to me around 450mm?

apf18_init-2011011018z_fcst-z_APF_melbourne.png (61.34 KiB) Viewed 5942 times

[johnno]

14mm here for this event

[HarleyB]

It's 375-400mm, so nearly that much, still very severe consequences are possible with that much rainfall.

[Ausmammal]

Thanks HarleyB

[Timster]

Just got home and did a recce around the place. Runoff now occurring in earnest and dam has come up around a foot. Backyard flooded but drains installed in Septemeber seem to be keeping up so far.
72 mm for the system so far. Don't really need any more, but suspect that my wish won't come true.

[firestorm]

i dont know when it started rainning somtimes yesterday arvo i think it hasnt really stopped it was heavy this morning till about 10am but since its been steady all day an still rainning 9mm, 28.2mm and so far today another 15.2mm making event total 52.4mm well over monthly average already at 32mm i would think 100mm+ for here is a good bet till Saturday wounder how many days till i get to see the sun its been 3 in a row so far

[stratospear]

That GFS forecast is out of date. BSCH website has been having trouble today (understandably). Latest EC has heaviest rain for tonight and tomorrow concentrates rain over Bendigo (about 50mm) followed by a lull on Thursday and another inch or so into Friday.

[Ausmammal]

That GFS forecast is out of date. BSCH website has been having trouble today (understandably). Latest EC has heaviest rain for tonight and tomorrow concentrates rain over Bendigo (about 50mm) followed by a lull on Thursday and another inch or so into Friday.

''

Thanks Stratospear

[Rhino]

70mm here for the system so far, 20mm today. Light drizzle now so will see what tonight brings but really someone else can have the rain now, getting sodden underfoot already.

Rhino.

[HarleyB]

I think we will end up with 40mm here. Thank god. Dont want anymore than that after seeing what has gone on up north. It's enough to keep away bushfires for the rest of the season. Currently since Sunday PM we have had 17.4mm.

[Anthony Violi]

Hold onto your hats folks...starting to see the first signs off convergence just to the North of Victoria.

I think we are about to get slammed tonight and tomorrow, mainly morning. The ranges have the best chance of the 75mm falls, maybe more.

[Rhino]

The radar just is'nt working that efficiently at the moment, have pretty steady rain here and only white on BOM radar. If I see red tonight on the radar might just get the boat out.

Rhino.

[Blackee]

The radar just is'nt working that efficiently at the moment, have pretty steady rain here and only white on BOM radar. If I see red tonight on the radar might just get the boat out.

Rhino.

Similar to QLD Rhino.
Radar echos were Yellow to Orange yet hourly rates were up to 100mm/hr (or 300mm/hr in the case of Toowoomba)

[HarleyB]

While I think about it Wes, I know its off topic, but how did Lake Eildon do yesterday?

Currently raining here in the order of 10mm/hr good soaking rain

[Blackee]

Harley,
16mm at the Lake to 9am this morning.
A good spike in inflows (6,000 ML) and a reduction in outflows (500ML).

Another few mm's today with a fair bit to come overnight!

[Anthony Violi]

Can see a big line of towers to the NE now the rain has stopped, still warm and muggy so will be convective all night. Expect this band moving through Seymour to erupt on the southern flank as it approaches.

[johnno]

587015 1 MARIBYRNONG R. AT MARIBYRNONG 39.2 10.5 Tue 11-01-2011 19:28:39 Derived Obs MARIBYRNONG RIVER MARIBYRNONG RIVER Tue 08:31:16 11/01/2011 VIC

Surely not?? Has to be a misprint! Thats situated 1k NW of where I live and I have only had 6mm Today

[chillout]

587015 1 MARIBYRNONG R. AT MARIBYRNONG 39.2 10.5 Tue 11-01-2011 19:28:39 Derived Obs MARIBYRNONG RIVER MARIBYRNONG RIVER Tue 08:31:16 11/01/2011 VIC

Surely not?? Has to be a misprint! Thats situated 1k NW of where I live and I have only had 6mm Today

yeh was just thinking that myself.

[Rhino]

Stawell and Ararat in the sweet spot at the moment, Charlton up to 42mm.Bloody belting down here, should have known, radars light blue.

Rhino.

[Jake Smethurst]

Its really coming down here currently. Has not stopped raining all day.