AWF Update 9am.
Areas of rain in the west and south are continuing to develop and move from N-S. Isolated thunderstorms are also developing in the west along a strong troughline. In the NE of the state, areas of rain with moderate falls has developed over the past few hours and will continue for a good portion of today and become heavier about the NE ranges after 3pm with local thunderstorms.
For Central areas, rain areas have somewhat moved south with middle level showers and convection developing behind it. Rainfalls of 1-6mm across Melbourne this morning was achieved and has since boosted DPs somewhat. Some breaks in the cloud over the next couple of hours may stimulate thunderstorm development ahead of the heavy rain expected after 2pm.
The cold air field over Ceduna is expected to move ESE over Adelaide this afternoon seeing showers and thunderstorms there and that focus spilling over into the Mallee tonight with showers and storms building there before it slams into the back of the low pressure system forming and invigorates that complex enhancing rainfall over C and NE VIC.
Flood Watches will be updated on
http://www.bom.gov.au/vic this morning so stay tuned for those.
Anticipating around 50-120mm for C and NE VIC this afternoon, overnight and tomorrow morning. The low pressure system will be barely moving for a period tonight with bands of rain circulating predominantly to the south and east of the complex with showers and storms with strong SW on it's western and northern sides.
Also watch for gales to develop over S VIC, particularly C VIC overnight into tomorrow as the low moves south and deepens through Sunday morning. Winds to 90kmh are possible.
Thunderstorms are also a risk with the BoM issuing thunderstorm charts at around 11am this morning. Suspecting there is a chance over the C and N of the state today in warmer air and a high convergence zone building.
Rainfall in the 24hrs to 9am:
Dartmoor: 23mm
Portland: 23mm
Casterton: 19mm
Mildura: 14mm
Birchip: 14mm
Next Update at 11am.
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