New Years Week: becoming hot and humid with possible storms

[daviescr]

Think i'm gonna go for a drive.... maybe buxton / taggerty way...

I'm all tingly

[I_Love_Storms]

BOM shouldn't muck around here, they should be pre-emptive and put out a STW, it won't take long now.

[I_Love_Storms]

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Cloudy. Scattered showers and the chance of thunderstorms, mainly over northern and eastern suburbs. Winds southwesterly averaging up to 25 km/h becoming light later in the evening.
Forecast for Saturday

Cloudy. Some rain and the chance of thunderstorms during the morning. Isolated showers to follow in the afternoon. Winds northwest to southwesterly averaging up to 30 km/h becoming southwesterly up to 40 km/h around midday.
City
Rain then shower or two. Min 18 Max 22


Now that's better!!!

[adon]

OK well I am off to work for the night so good luck everyone and hope to read and see lots of good stuff tomorrow!

[Anthony Violi]

Going to be touch and go for a fair part of the metro area, trajectory is NW/SE so they need to develop a bit further south, not by much, for those in western areas to get something. Low level stratus is breaking up here and starting to wash out from the North, sky is ablaze with towers aloft..could be another good event as its all releasing at the right time.

[Petros]

Seebreeze killed everything here (although low scud was forming in rising air up Newry way for a while). 22-32C here, cooled to 27 with sea air but thats dropped off a fair bit now and in minutes it seems, most of the cloud has disapeared (bar along the foothills).

[I_Love_Storms]

Amazing how quickly the low level cloud is clearing! Feeling very humid out now...back to a NW flow

[Anthony Violi]

Sunny here now and get a load of the Flowerdale cell!!! Enormous!! It should all be clear here totally very soon, will try to get a visual to the west and see whats going on there.

[I_Love_Storms]

As far as I'm concerned, the city is going to get the storm activity within the next few hours. Observing the doppler you can see widespread wind pockets just NW of the CBD, I am guessing these illustrate unstable Cu?

I expect it to explode over the CBD and eastern suburbs.

[Pengaz]

All cloud has cleared out through this way now and we are in full sunshine again. Seabreeze still puffing through but may be dying off a little.

Time for another twist???

[Anthony Violi]

Still going to hug the ranges to the North so most will miss out at this stage unless some cells start going to the West of Melbourne..

[droughtbreaker]

Still in mist and 8/8 stratus here but it has brightened up heaps and sunlight filtering through.

[Anthony Violi]

You should start to get a visual soon Andrew..let us know what you can see to your South...sounding shows a monster inversion at 700, direction coming out of the west, and massive dry slot above 700..touch and go. Even though they are moving out of the NW we should be ok.

[Dane]

Still overcast here 8/8. No sign of cloud breaking, temp now 19.9c

[daviescr]

just arrived in healesville, blue skies and a magnificent anvil directly north - prob heading towards buxton.
might just miss it.... dang!

[Rhino]

Towering Cu everywhere here, huge CB's to my SE, probably will all develop to my east but Andrew could be in with a good chance.

Rhino.

[droughtbreaker]

I've got a cell heading towards me but still 8/8 stratus and has got thicker again and darkened right up. No visual on anything unfortunately. Obviously still under the inversion here so the only chance is if storms can survive and drift in.

[Dane]

[quote="hillybilly"]
The area to watch for development is between Yea and Stawell. This is where upslide is expected to develop in the next few hours as the trough/low deepens over western Vic - there is now a closed circulation just south of Horsham. I wouldn't be too worried about the surface southerlies around Melbourne/Yarra Valley - storms will happily push across the shallow southerly once the fire on the ranges.

Good call DJ thats just were the storms are firing now.

[I_Love_Storms]

Most of storms that should hit CBD moving around 50kph...looking at hitting within 2 hours.

[Rhino]

Spitting rain here but touch and go for storms here IMO. Moving at a fair rate of knots too. Still very warm and humid, almost total cloud cover at the moment.

Rhino.