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Cool start to November followed by an extended warm spell: November 1-10

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.
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Skywalker
Supercell
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Joined: Sun Nov 29, 2009 10:03 am
Location: Burnside Heights/Cowes (Home) & Sunshine West (Work)

Tue Nov 07, 2023 6:25 pm

Distant rumblings here from those cells just to our south here in Burnside Heights. Doesn't look like we will be getting anything. :(

I've already given up & began the nightly watering routine.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
James
Supercell
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Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 6:10 pm
Location: Boronia

Tue Nov 07, 2023 6:40 pm

so weird, lighting within 6km of me yet i really have not heard anything, its probably up so high in the atmosphere the sound never gets here.

looked great earlier but has all died again, no rain but so humid and sticky
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Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
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Location: FTG
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Tue Nov 07, 2023 7:00 pm

3 drops only
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Gordon
Supercell
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Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:01 am
Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Tue Nov 07, 2023 7:27 pm

Fascinating watching the storms develop in a northwesterly direction along a narrow convergence line, running from about Melbourne to beyond Ballarat, with us smack in the middle of the storm train-line!

Just when it seemed we were sure to miss out, with all the action to the dreaded east...

As hillybilly suggested several posts back, the steering is all over the place with this one. Seems anything can happen!
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hillybilly
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Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
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Tue Nov 07, 2023 7:31 pm

That cell tracking through the southeast burbs has dropped 50mm locally. Looks like an absolute cracker. Very patchy though, with spots only a few kms sat on near zero.

Down here in Tas waiting on a band of showers and storms which is edging southeast. Tomorrow should be wet here. Will be welcome.
Dane
Supercell
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Location: Sebastopol 420m ASL
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Tue Nov 07, 2023 8:06 pm

Cracking storm just through here very lightning active and lots of pea sized hail which whitened the ground.
Temp dropped from 24c just before the storm to 14c.
23 mm's in 30 minutes between 7.10 and 7.40pm.
Best storm for ages here
Sebastopol southern suburb of Ballarat
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hillybilly
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Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
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Wed Nov 08, 2023 6:24 am

Couple of mm here overnight. Now overcast and humid. Today should be the best day for Tas, though like Vic it is going to be hit and miss. Locally heavy falls but also locally near zero.

Today looks to be mostly favouring eastern Vic, with some extension in central parts.

Friday still looks hot, particularly in the Mallee and back into SA. The airmass if horribly hot, but we fortunately mostly miss it. EC is showing temps above 45C back in SA.
snowfall
Supercell
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Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 7:39 pm
Location: Gisborne South (349m asl)

Wed Nov 08, 2023 9:25 am

Did better than expected here yesterday, with 15mm all up. We had several storms from about 4pm onwards, including thundery rain later in the evening from the convergence line that Gordon mentioned. Some great lightning events at times with a few big forks across the sky and thunder that shook the house.

Already warming up. Currently 22c. We reached a max yesterday of 28.6c, our warmest day since 18th March.
stevco123
Supercell
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Joined: Sat Aug 07, 2010 7:42 pm
Location: Cranbourne 78m asl

Wed Nov 08, 2023 2:49 pm

Stormy here for second day in a row. Didn't expect 1, let alone 2
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
Skywalker
Supercell
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Joined: Sun Nov 29, 2009 10:03 am
Location: Burnside Heights/Cowes (Home) & Sunshine West (Work)

Wed Nov 08, 2023 2:54 pm

Looks like yet another epic dud fail for this neck of the woods. Thank god I watered last night as we have received absolutely nothing! :cussing:

Next system please whenever that may be.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
James
Supercell
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Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 6:10 pm
Location: Boronia

Wed Nov 08, 2023 2:57 pm

very annoying its following the same trajectory as previous days, just slipping past us and to the south...although we did get a short shower last night and one crack of thunder
StratoBendigo
Supercell
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Location: Kangaroo Flat

Wed Nov 08, 2023 4:31 pm

A very high cloud-base storm over parts of Bendigo at present. It's chucking out some CGs, but no precip yet.

Yesterday there was a decent storm over Lake Eppalock and surrounds. Redesdale got 20mm in it.
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Blackee
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Location: Elwood and Mansfield 370m

Wed Nov 08, 2023 5:25 pm

Rolling thunder with light to moderate rain at times in bayside for the last two hours now. Very pleasant. Looks to be getting more severe as the line moves east. Cell over presently Kinglake looks meaty.

Would have had about 5-8 mm here.
Mansfield 370m and Elwood
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Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
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Wed Nov 08, 2023 5:45 pm

3.61mm overnight. FTG

Calm and Pleasant Now @ Mansfield
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Blackee
Site Admin/Moderator
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Location: Elwood and Mansfield 370m

Wed Nov 08, 2023 5:58 pm

Australis(Shell3155) wrote: Wed Nov 08, 2023 5:45 pm 3.61mm overnight. FTG

Calm and Pleasant Now @ Mansfield
Looks like you'll get your turn next couple of hours
Mansfield 370m and Elwood
snowfall
Supercell
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Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 7:39 pm
Location: Gisborne South (349m asl)

Wed Nov 08, 2023 7:53 pm

A couple of thunderstorms here this afternoon, dropping 7mm.

Not quite as good as yesterday, but still a nice way to finish a hot day. Currently foggy and a cool 14c.
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hillybilly
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Wed Nov 08, 2023 8:20 pm

Couple of cracking storms for us south of Hobart. Hail and torrential rain. Currently on the road and keen to check the manual as the rainfall rates appeared to have overwhelmed the AWS. Looks like 15-20mm, but will report the final tomorrow.

Pretty amazing day with storms in Hobart, Melbourne, Canberra and Sydney tough patchy in each so really hit and miss.
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Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
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Wed Nov 08, 2023 11:07 pm

Blue black skies
Wind before the storm.
Great light and sound show..
round 3
Heavy rain.
@Mansfield
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hillybilly
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Thu Nov 09, 2023 7:49 pm

Such a strange system. Starts out cool, turns humid then storm, now it clear to a hot Friday. Not often that all happens, and thumping storms in Melbourne, Hobart, Canberra and Sydney. Steering all over the place some some spots getting their monthly total while other barely got the pavement wet.

Fortunately we mostly miss the heat tomorrow. Adelaide will get close to 40C and might well crack 45C out in the west of SA. Those will be early season records or early misses. Front for Saturday but looks dry unless you are in Tas.
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hillybilly
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Sun Nov 12, 2023 7:10 am

Topped out at 24C down here on Friday. Nice day.

Lots of early season records in SA. Adelaide’s 40.3C was an equal early season record, but much warmer in some of the suburbs up to 43C. Regional spots broke lots of records.

VIC and TAS mostly missed it which is not a bad thing :)

Struggling to see much for a few days. Dull swly weather. High is close so not much weather in it.

Maybe an active trough in about a week.
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