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hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
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Posts: 5035 Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
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by hillybilly » Mon Dec 19, 2022 7:10 am
Bit of a warm up this week ahead of a weak trough Wednesday to Thursday. Looks like showers and some storms on the change. Not widespread falls, but could be locally moderate to heavier. Will provide gardens a bit of a drink ahead of a Christmas to New Year heatwave. Progs generally looking summery now.
hillybilly
Petros
Supercell
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Posts: 2001 Joined: Tue Dec 01, 2009 6:25 pm
Location: Maffra, Gippsland, Vic
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by Petros » Mon Dec 19, 2022 6:34 pm
Agree HB. I reckon the brief burst of heat will herald in the arrival of the moister atmosphere from the La Nina/IOD regions, mid January looks to be stormy and wet to me.
Petros
hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
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Posts: 5035 Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
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by hillybilly » Wed Dec 21, 2022 6:39 am
Quite a lot of storms back in SA the last 24 hours, now drifting slowly into Vic. Not big falls, but most areas should see some showers and the odd rumble. Warm two days coming up, locally hot.
Next weeks heat is really ramping up. Could well see five 40s in a row in the Mallee. Melbourne possible three 35C. Even down here in Tasmania, wouldn’t be surprised to see mid to high 30s one or two days. Nasty winds, particular western VIC and South Australia. Guess new thread pretty soon after this one.
hillybilly
Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
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Posts: 3147 Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 8:05 pm
Location: FTG
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by Australis(Shell3155) » Wed Dec 21, 2022 8:26 pm
Sat down for some net time , this caught my eye
058B65AD-397C-41D7-B274-72361CEF4929.jpeg (1.33 MiB) Viewed 2277 times
Australis(Shell3155)
hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
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Posts: 5035 Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
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by hillybilly » Thu Dec 22, 2022 6:43 am
Few showers and storm out there in the radar. Nice way to start the day.
Not so sure about down here in Howden. Storms will pop up over the ranges around mid arvo, but not a lot of steering. Generally a warm day.
Any rain we can get today is a bonus ahead of an increasing warm and then windy week. New thread for that one.
hillybilly
stevco123
Supercell
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Posts: 2942 Joined: Sat Aug 07, 2010 7:42 pm
Location: Cranbourne 78m asl
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by stevco123 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:52 am
A healthy 6mm so far this morning and still going
stevco123
snowfall
Supercell
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Posts: 1299 Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 7:39 pm
Location: Gisborne South (349m asl)
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by snowfall » Thu Dec 22, 2022 10:11 am
A somewhat unexpected 11mm here this morning. Now humid and sunny.
snowfall
Didjman
Supercell
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Posts: 2100 Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2010 2:52 pm
Location: Wallan, Vic 328m ASL
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by Didjman » Thu Dec 22, 2022 1:06 pm
Storms firing from Maryborough to Melton atm
Didjman
James
Supercell
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Posts: 1059 Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 6:10 pm
Location: Boronia
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by James » Thu Dec 22, 2022 2:26 pm
have to say i miss the days of lively reports as storms came in, thunder is booming in the distance here, keep refreshing page to see peoples updates and observations but nothing...
James
hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
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Posts: 5035 Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
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by hillybilly » Thu Dec 22, 2022 2:36 pm
Some significant totals showing up in the northern burbs of Melbourne. Locally 30-50mm from southwest of Melton headed out towards Broadmeadows. The band there looks to be still building.
Most of Melbourne looks to be in a split in the band which is can happen when the steering is northwesterly but surface flow is southeasterly.
hillybilly
tonycynic
Cumulonimbus
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Posts: 494 Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 5:57 pm
Location: Mount Evelyn (h),Donvale (w)
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by tonycynic » Thu Dec 22, 2022 2:48 pm
Thunder and a couple of CGs here in Dandenong. Looking forward to the drive home.
tonycynic
Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
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Posts: 3147 Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 8:05 pm
Location: FTG
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by Australis(Shell3155) » Thu Dec 22, 2022 2:52 pm
James. Busy battering down the hatches.. it’s not school pick up yet.. (Holidays)
Edit…. Happy that’s spirit to miss us… fingers crossed..
Australis(Shell3155)
James
Supercell
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Posts: 1059 Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 6:10 pm
Location: Boronia
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by James » Thu Dec 22, 2022 2:57 pm
very impressive mammatus out there earlier, still some rumbling but yes it looks like its split around us, not a drop of rain with it either!
some pretty serious downdrafts and rain videos being posted on social media in cragieburn!
James
Lucia
Cumulus
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Posts: 85 Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 5:08 pm
Location: Lilydale
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by Lucia » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:04 pm
As it heads towards Lilydale, the rainfall strength appears to be weakening, not as ominous looking as it was.
Lucia
James
Supercell
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Posts: 1059 Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 6:10 pm
Location: Boronia
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by James » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:08 pm
seems to me that once this passes it will be hot and sunny again in the clear air behind it, I wonder what conditions are like for more to form as quite a few hours of daylight and heating yet.
James
Pengaz
Cumulonimbus
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Posts: 346 Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 10:04 pm
Location: Warragul
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by Pengaz » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:36 pm
Storms currently approaching from our west, but looks like we might pick the gap here:
[mention]James[/mention] looks like more building to the west, Sheoaks just had 12mm in the last half hour.
Last edited by
Pengaz on Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Pengaz
Wilko
Supercell
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Posts: 1492 Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Moorabbin & Highett, Vic
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by Wilko » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:37 pm
Poured in Cheltenham now suns heating up beautifully with plenty of action this arvo
12mm here
Wilko
Wilko
Supercell
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Posts: 1492 Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Moorabbin & Highett, Vic
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by Wilko » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:44 pm
Nasty little cell near Koo Wee Rup
With steering to the SE
Another building cluster near Werribee heading East
Wilko
Didjman
Supercell
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Posts: 2100 Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2010 2:52 pm
Location: Wallan, Vic 328m ASL
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by Didjman » Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:26 pm
Lots more building out west. At my local obs post up the hill, I had rotation overhead, torrential rain for 5 mins and hail
Didjman
snowfall
Supercell
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Posts: 1299 Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 7:39 pm
Location: Gisborne South (349m asl)
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by snowfall » Thu Dec 22, 2022 4:34 pm
Big storm here at around 1.30-2.00. 20mm in about half an hour and very loud cracks of thunder.
Lots more activity building around us, but travelling to our south and north.
snowfall