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Vic - strong cold front with potential snow 19-22/11/22

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.
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93ben
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Mon Nov 21, 2022 11:29 pm

Macedonian wrote: Mon Nov 21, 2022 2:56 pm The tour group that came to see our garden today got snowed on. They were incredulous. Was fun to see their reaction. Waa novel leading a group of thirty through a snowy garden.
Yeah these people looked like they had a ball on Saturday night lol...

Horts
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 3:03 am

What the hell is going on?

It's November 22nd, the wind is absolutely ice cold on the peninsula, rain, hail, wind, short break, rinse and repeat.

Currently 8.5⁰, feels like 5.2⁰.

Starting to question the return home from 3 years in Queensland.

Is this weather related to the Volcanic eruption in Tonga earlier in the year? Was watching a video on YouTube about it on the channel called OzGeographics:



Is this correct? Are we going to get any real summer at all?

Can't stand this for much longer.
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Pengaz
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 8:01 am

Another 16.5mm yesterday/last night on top of Sundays 15mm. Looks like the Nilma North AWS fared a lot better with the stream showers overnight, not that we needed it.

56mm since Saturday night. Won’t be forgetting this spring for a long time.
Gordon
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 9:52 am

40mm here for the dates, 137mm mtd, 1072.5mm ytd - 22mm shy of our wettest year in my 25 years of records, with the rest of November and December still to go.

Just extraordinary weather; relentless for rain, cold and wind. As a package, can't recall anything like it.
Macedonian
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 10:34 am

La Nina is just evening up the score for all of the relentless above average temps and droughty El Nino years. Only three years ago the whole of eastern Australia was baking and burning up.
Give me the cool and damp any day.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
StratoBendigo
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 10:54 am

Gordon wrote: Tue Nov 22, 2022 9:52 am 40mm here for the dates, 137mm mtd, 1072.5mm ytd - 22mm shy of our wettest year in my 25 years of records, with the rest of November and December still to go.

Just extraordinary weather; relentless for rain, cold and wind. As a package, can't recall anything like it.
Spring 1992 is the closest to what we are having IMHO. And that happened to occur after another big volcano (Pinatubo).... As for going right back into the records, Spring 1870 has parallels too.
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hillybilly
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 1:36 pm

Crazy crazy winds down here today. Up to this point the low has been a bit ho hum for Tasmania, but crazy gales atm. Weather has been chilly, but nothing that remarkable and the air is quite dry so lots of showers but not a lot in them. Average temps will land almost exactly on the long term average here. 2.6mm for the last 24 hours, and was snow to about 600m on the mountain earlier, but now all gone.

Patterns flipping a bit with nothing that dramatic in the progs the next seven days. The monsoon is starting to show signs of arousing in the northwest so would not be surprised to see a blocked pattern emerge in the text two weeks.

Btw two years ago this week it reached 46C near Mildura in record heat. I’m definitely not wishing this cooler wetter pattern away :?
tonycynic
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 3:31 pm

Hope it is better than it is for this hillbilly. Been a few branches down today.
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Gordon
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 4:34 pm

Macedonian wrote: Tue Nov 22, 2022 10:34 am La Nina is just evening up the score for all of the relentless above average temps and droughty El Nino years. Only three years ago the whole of eastern Australia was baking and burning up.
Give me the cool and damp any day.
Agreed, anything is better than bushfire conditions. But as I'm often required to work outdoors, regardless of the weather (hence my keen interest in it :)), the last few days have been wearing a little thin ... Blown off my feet twice yesterday, and had numb and useless fingers for about 10 minutes following one particularly violent sleet/snowstorm - despite wearing some pretty hi-tech gloves and full winter kit.

This pic from yesterday was taken at only 500m asl - pretty impressive for 21 November! Colder & snowier at my place 120m higher.

Image

Meanwhile, one local farmer I chatted to the other day told me he is almost out of time to get his potato crop in - his main source of income. And obviously the flood damage to infrastructure, homes and property is far and wide. So yes, this weather is way better than heat and drought, but not without its costs.
Macedonian
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 9:01 pm

Of course there are always some negative impacts but on the whole it's usually warmer and drier than average these days so I'm happy to take this brief respite from GW.
I'm out in it every day for work and out in it every other day for fun.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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hillybilly
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 9:53 pm

tonycynic wrote: Tue Nov 22, 2022 3:31 pm Hope it is better than it is for this hillbilly. Been a few branches down today.
I recognise that tree :o Often parked under it at the station on a hot day. Perhaps lucky it fell down the line and not across.

Crazy winds here all arvo. My PWS topped 50km/hr at just over 1m of height, which would be well over 100 at tree tops. Two trees down in the garden - thankfully away from the house and not too large.

Here’s two faces of our bay taken ten hours apart today. Calm and clear to wild and wooly :o

Image
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Petros
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 6:54 pm

Macedonian wrote: Tue Nov 22, 2022 10:34 am La Nina is just evening up the score for all of the relentless above average temps and droughty El Nino years. Only three years ago the whole of eastern Australia was baking and burning up.
Give me the cool and damp any day.
Follow the sunspots, we will remain cold and damp for decades to come.
StratoBendigo
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 7:04 pm

Increasingly possibility of going into El-Nino in 2023. Could be like 1957 according to some.
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hillybilly
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 9:39 pm

Picked up another mm overnight. Nice day today, almost warm in the sun.

Sharp warm up for Saturday ahead of more chill. Might crack 37C in the Mallee and get close to 30C in central. EC trying to spin up the monsoon in about a week. Surge of heat comes with it. Guess we’ll see how day ten verifies :D
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Fri Nov 25, 2022 5:06 am

Better day today, was a few minutes only of sun..

Be aware one hand can squat 10 mozzies at once..
good riddance is working although I need to apply to clothing also..
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Sat Nov 26, 2022 5:37 pm

Cruddd..

What’s with the radar… !
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