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Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

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Petros
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Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Petros »

The next significant (and unwelcome) event to impact Victoria looks to be in the form of a wild winter-like cold air storm system?:

Image

How many sodden-rooted trees will come down if things turn out as predicted by CMC's latest run?
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Wilko »

Yes looks ferocious indeed with most models in agreement
Doesn’t look like a reprieve from the wet weather for at least another 2 weeks
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by StratoBendigo »

It certainly looks like much of Southern Vic will be in for a wild ride.

Flemington Racecourse will be the Instagram Crowd's Apocalypse IMO on Tuesday afternoon...
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Macedonian »

Oh well, If the horses have to suffer so should the spectators.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Dane »

Rainfall update to 12.40pm 28-10-22.
21.6mm's for me up to 9am today and 2.4mm's since then.
My MTD is 179.9mm's and YTD is 763.4mm's
Ballarat Airport
18.0mm's up to 9am this morning and 2.8mm's since then.
MTD is 199.8mm's - October record beating 1975 with 193mm's
YTD is 683.6mm's just short of the yearly average of 689mm's
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by StratoBendigo »

Some pretty substantial rain totals in the Yarra Valley overnight. Thomson Dam now overflowing for the first time since 1996 too.

We just copped 5mm in a quick afternoon downpour. More to come by the looks of it.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Wilko »

Wz has 953hp Monday night
That may be an all time record :o
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by hillybilly »

Wet weather with this one looks like mainly focusing on northern and western Tasmania. Southeast where we are looks mainly windy with very high sea levels. Might sneak a few mms. The pressure is close to record low (might even be a record) but system is slipping south. EC has wind gusts in the hills over 120km/hr down here, so might even see the odd gust in the 150km/hr range.

VIC looks like windy and wet. Initially will favour the northern slopes, but later the westerlies will spread rainfall through the usual suspects. Solid snowfalls at elevation across all three of the southeast states. Snow looks like dropping to around 800m give or take. Wouldn’t be surprised to see 30-50cm fall around spots like the higher Snowies, central peaks of TAS and Baw Baw.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Gordon »

Constantly amazing weather! We are now on 191mm mtd, which puts us in range of out wettest total in any month in our 26 years here of 202.5mm in May 2019. Ytd is 934.5mm

Further to hillybilly's note, BOM forecasts have snow for the Alps for 5 days straight starting Monday (and that's not including falls yesterday and Friday). Not often you see that in November!
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Did anyone get anything with that band coming through Sunday 5.30.
Seems moving fast.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Blackee »

Australis(Shell3155) wrote: Sun Oct 30, 2022 5:39 pm Did anyone get anything with that band coming through Sunday 5.30.
Seems moving fast.
Getting that now at the lake Shel and it’s annoyingly solid after what was a perfect day earlier.

Stunning rainfall mtd numbers by many here. Our local WS is reporting 202mm so far this month, the highest total recorded of any month here in 20 years of recording data (not BOM).

Had a good look at the Eildon and Maroondah spillways on the way up. Both are thunderous with the huge amounts being released.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Sean »

The sky is rumbling but there's nothing on the lightning tracker, let alone a cell on the radar. Odd
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by jimmyay »

Great photos. It is really amazing to see the dams full, although of course feel for people affected by the floods.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by 93ben »

And now the wind that we usually get around Autumn/Winter has returned. Pressure so far on my weather station is recording 995.5 hPa.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Didjman »

93ben wrote: Sun Oct 30, 2022 10:56 pm And now the wind that we usually get around Autumn/Winter has returned. Pressure so far on my weather station is recording 995.5 hPa.
Same here in Wallan
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Didjman »

Looks like the low might have just passed its closest point to here. Got down to 995.4 with 60K gusts. Now 996.7 and rising.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Sean wrote: Sun Oct 30, 2022 8:36 pm The sky is rumbling but there's nothing on the lightning tracker, let alone a cell on the radar. Odd
Did you get some footage.. ?

Wind gusts around 25klm and the foliage isn’t as wet as last weeks 50plus gusts..
but won’t say too much just yet….

Oddly 18.5 C
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by Didjman »

Didjman wrote: Sun Oct 30, 2022 11:17 pm Looks like the low might have just passed its closest point to here. Got down to 995.4 with 60K gusts. Now 996.7 and rising.
Spoke too soon lol! QNH currently 991.0 but Northerly wind has backed right off for the moment (decreasing trend since midnight). Temp has been around 15c most of the night.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by hillybilly »

1mm here overnight. Is windy but nothing that unusual for here. Going to be a mild, blustery day here with the odd shower. Bit different to the media stories for our area which talked it up like snowmagedon :? Pressure is currently 982hPa and dropping. Should see about 975 which is impressively low.

Northern and western TAS in line for wet weather, and northeast vic. Would also watch for some nasty storms through VIC on the wind change. Strong winds aloft, warm spring sunshine and lots of shear.
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Re: Vic - major storm event 30/10 - 3/11/22

Post by stevco123 »

76km/h wind gust here last night. Not the strongest I've recorded but still got woken by a few bumps in the night
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