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Inland Trough and Associated Pineapple Express: Oct 4-8

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.
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QldTwister
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Location: Ashwood Vic

Fri Oct 07, 2022 1:48 pm

Yeah I think its really more thank you to the strong IOD plus little help from La Nina and Sam regradess just like 2010/11 and its so good :D

Also drove Melbourne to Ouyen yesterday OMG WOW :o :o have never seen so much water in paddocks and 100s of kms of massive puddles and flooded paddocks and over flowing dams in my life the crops look great too but now probarly getting to much of a good thing.
Also the Calder Highway was down to 1 lane in many spots with so many flooded areas.

Road near Wedderburn was closed for a bit with widespread flooding south of town 2 cars strandard in flood waters on the road and many side roads closed due to flooding was amazing there yesterday. South of Chartlon was a 500m strech of water over the whole road so so much water and Lake Tryell is full to the brim noramlly a dry Salt Lake.

Heavy rain here last night and again this morning another 36mm last 24 hours the crazy wet pattern roles on :D :D

As mentioned another big week next week after a few cool dry days the pattern filpped in late August and hasnt stopped. :D :o :o :o
Terrible news though for those right across NSW and Inland Vic who are going to experince terrible and horrific flooding in coming weeks months and lose everything.
Bring on the heat and stroms
stevco123
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Location: Cranbourne West 53m asl

Fri Oct 07, 2022 2:19 pm

Some personal weather stations in Frankston reporting around 50mm from that band before, with the official Frankston station (which isn't really in Frankston) reporting 30mm
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
Gordon
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Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Fri Oct 07, 2022 2:33 pm

QldTwister wrote: Fri Oct 07, 2022 1:48 pm Yeah I think its really more thank you to the strong IOD plus little help from La Nina and Sam regradess just like 2010/11 and its so good :D
Here in the western half of Vic, La Nina is a neutral signal at best, whereas a - IOD always brings good rain. We've never had below average rainfall under a negative IOD.

Meanwhile still looking for our first 17C day since autumn... been a while :? .
QldTwister
Cumulonimbus
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Location: Ashwood Vic

Fri Oct 07, 2022 3:17 pm

Agree Gordon it always IOD that brings the goods to VIC and its strong atm hence why so wet.
2016 and 2010 also where strong to record at the time kinda strength hence why they also had floods

NE looks like will miss out big falls this time which is good but wont be lucky next week and watch Majors happen with next weeks rain.
Bring on the heat and stroms
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Onetahuti
Supercell
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Location: Dandenong Nth.

Fri Oct 07, 2022 3:29 pm

I had arranged to take the partner out for lunch today and ordered the wheelchair taxi to pick us up at 11:30AM which was the exact time of the heaviest of the downpour. Complicated by the fact that a patient transport ambulance was already taking up space underneath the cover at the front door of the nursing home but thankfully our driver was able to reverse in from the opposite direction sufficiently which enabled us to get into the taxi without getting much more than blowing rain. Water flowing over roads everywhere. Those we had lunch with said they had come across many cars which had broken down in the flood waters.
Home to 20mm in the gauge from the storm.
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Fri Oct 07, 2022 3:42 pm

Some black heading towards Yarra Glen
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Pengaz
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Location: Warragul

Fri Oct 07, 2022 4:06 pm

8.5mm overnight and then another 7.5mm today from separate periods of heavy rain here.
StratoBendigo
Supercell
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Location: Kangaroo Flat

Fri Oct 07, 2022 6:29 pm

Flood gates have been opened on Cairn Curran Reservoir. Major flood warning issued downstream.

As for next week, 30-50mm seems to be on the menu. We're getting into 2010-2011 territory.
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Petros
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Location: Maffra, Gippsland, Vic

Fri Oct 07, 2022 6:35 pm

Another 10.25mm fell here today (4 of it overnight ahead of this arvos front). No storms, no wind.

Strangely we've gone back to a light easterly (expected cold SW'ly), so maybe more rain to come here before it all clears away. Thread total 20.75mm, perfect rain for these parts at this time.
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hillybilly
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Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:36 pm

Bit slow to get started here but this arvo delivered. Torrential showers with the odd rumble. Was quite a bit of flash flooding between here and Hobart with locally more than 25mm in about 30 minutes. Peak rainfall rate here of 90mm/hr and 15mm in total. Was never going to be as big here, so happy with that. Heavy falls across northern Tasmania with multiple sites cracking 100mm, and quite a few rivers near or at floods.

Cold air moving in for Saturday and Sunday with 850Ts dropping to -4C so snow levels down to 700m but not much precip so be only a dusting. Then next system inbound from about Wednesday. That is looking nasty, with over 100mm along the northeast slopes of VIC and potentially heavy falls for the whole of Tasmania. Too far out to pick the numbers, but expecting more flooding.

This is really starting feel like 2010/11 atm. Once we move out of the cool season the trend, La Niña and negative IOD are all in phase for much of Oz so no surprise this is cranking up atm.
stevco123
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Location: Cranbourne West 53m asl

Fri Oct 07, 2022 11:04 pm

Some significant flooding over Westernport Highway this afternoon between Cranbourneand Hastings. I've never seen it that bad. Definitely isolated falls of 50-100mm there with obvious torrents of water in places
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
Gordon
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Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Sat Oct 08, 2022 8:23 am

A manageable 35mm for the dates here, but even then, the nearby Werribee and Leigh rivers are in minor flood. Shows how precarious the water situation is.
Gordon
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Sat Oct 08, 2022 8:23 am

A manageable 35mm for the dates here, but even so, the nearby Werribee and Leigh rivers are in minor flood. Shows how precarious the situation is.
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Didjman
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Sat Oct 08, 2022 11:34 am

21 mm here all up
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Pengaz
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Location: Warragul

Sat Oct 08, 2022 12:38 pm

I tipped out 15.25mm here so we managed to squeeze out close to another 8mm last night since last post.

That nudges up to over 30mm for the thread, keeping things wet around here.
StratoBendigo
Supercell
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Location: Kangaroo Flat

Sat Oct 08, 2022 12:55 pm

A crazy helicopter rescue near Newbridge on the Loddon River this morning of a bloke who was camping in a rooftop tent on his Landcruiser. He woke up surrounded by floodwaters and had to be winched via chopper to safety.
tonycynic
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Sat Oct 08, 2022 5:45 pm

Forecast of up to 75mm for next week here, all going to be running straight off. Fun times for ducks.
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hillybilly
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Sat Oct 08, 2022 7:34 pm

Quite the wintery one here today to finish off the event with sun, shower, hail and more sun. Just 0.4mm and a max of 13C, but snow was falling on Wellington down to around 600m. Went up for a climb this arvo and scored a cracking snow shower, verging on blizzard. Settled a bit, but warm spring sun does let it last so much during the day. Here’s one shot at about 800m with snow blowing in from the west.

Image
Gordon
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Sat Oct 08, 2022 9:41 pm

Great pic! Harsh but beautiful country.
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hillybilly
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Sun Oct 09, 2022 7:08 am

Gordon wrote: Sat Oct 08, 2022 9:41 pm Great pic! Harsh but beautiful country.
Yep. Something special about being able to jump in the car and be 20 minutes to the snow and an alpine landscape.

Nice frost here this morning and 1C. Bit of snow on the mainland, mainly in NSW where heavy precip combined with moderately cool low levels to drop snow levels down. Reports of snow as low as Jindabyne and Cooma.

Progs upping for the week ahead. Looks nasty tbh. UK has over 300mm in parts of northern Tasmania, and all progs are showing 100-200mm across much of northern Tasmania and parts of Victoria.
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