The thick plumes of vapour seem to be edging further and further inland each day:
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
Question is, will something wring it out over places that need it? I was a bit young to remember that event at Rod Laver, but that cyclone has brought with it a massive incursion of tropical moisture over northern regions...
If it were a regular year/summer I would think, ok, the monsoon is arriving, but the extremity of anomalies and drivers lately makes me wonder if extreme rainfall in southern regions is a chance. Having said that though, while we have some of the warmest waters in the world sitting to the NW of us at the moment, the anomaly is only moderate:
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDYOC062 ... maly.shtml - which hints more at average type weather than extrememe type weather, where rain is concerned anyway.
My biggest concern is that a belt of high pressure will form as the monsoon trough descends. Victoria has been subject to this over and over again. The only regularity we seem to have these days is a snap drought once a year!