Depends on instability which may overcome lack of heating. Plenty of moisture obviously. Latest GFS has large areas of -4LIs in west central areas around now with Cape of 1000. Radio has a few crackles already.Gordon wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:11 am Suspect the full cloud might suppress severe storms for west central at least? (Thoughts please Didjman? hillybilly?) But I'll take the rain however it comes!
Suspect you might get a wee drop from the storm crossing the bay right now steveco, if rain rates are anything like we just had.stevco123 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 8:48 am So basically the usual for Melbourne, like the last 2 days. Move on. Next system please...
Oh boooyyy!!!! Thumping down heavy rain, hail and simultaneous thunder/ lightningGordon wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:02 pm Ballarat forecast just updated: 'The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe, with damaging winds, large hail and heavy falls in the afternoon and early evening.'
The last bit is new - so seems BOM think the worst (best?) is yet to come?
Suspect you might get a wee drop from the storm crossing the bay right now steveco, if rain rates are anything like we just had.stevco123 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 8:48 am So basically the usual for Melbourne, like the last 2 days. Move on. Next system please...![]()
They must have heard you - STW issued 3 minutes laterdazrain wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:22 pm hammering in Brighton East.
No thunderstorm warning from BOM.
Work experience kids running it.
Me too! 1.2mm here lol-no rumblesGordon wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 2:30 pm Round 2: thunder and lightning are back, but only moderate rain with it so far.
Hopefully there's something for you at the back end of this Strato?